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ADSK
Autodesk, Inc.
Summary
Earnings Call Analysis
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Positive High Gross Profit Margin
Positive Strong Return on Equity
Positive Healthy Net Profit Margin
Positive Moderate Debt Levels
Positive Strong Cash Position
Positive Strong Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year Results
Positive Go-to-Market Optimization
Positive Leadership in Industry Clouds and AI
Positive Strong Guidance for Fiscal 2026
Positive Investment in High-Growth Areas
Negative High P/E Ratio
Negative High Price-to-Sales Ratio
Negative Operating Profit Margin
Negative Low Current and Quick Ratios
Negative Interest Coverage Ratio
Negative Slow New Business Growth
Negative Uncertainty in Macro Environment

Overall, Autodesk demonstrates strong business quality through its robust financial performance and strategic positioning in the market. However, challenges in new business growth and macroeconomic uncertainties pose risks. Future prospects appear positive with strong guidance and investments in high-growth areas, although external factors may impact outcomes.

Analysis Date: February 27, 2025
Last Updated: March 11, 2025

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$155.07

Current Market Price: $243.23

IV/P Ratio: 0.64x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

-56.99999999999999%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for ADSK

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
No Dividend history (5+ years)
No P/E ratio ≤ 20 (47.47)
No P/B ratio ≤ 1.5 (20.14)
No Current ratio ≥ 2.0 (0.68x)
Yes Long-term debt < Net current assets (-1.32x)
No Margin of safety (-56.99999999999999%)
No ADSK does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 45.05672609400324

ROA: 2.7970091387427303

Gross Profit Margin: 90.57250040776383

Net Profit Margin: 18.137334855651606

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Strong Return on Equity

45.06%
Return on Equity

ADSK has a return on equity (ROE) of 45.06%, indicating excellent management efficiency in generating profits from shareholders' equity.

Healthy Net Profit Margin

18.14%
Net Profit Margin

A net profit margin of 18.14% suggests that ADSK effectively converts a significant portion of revenue into profit.

Operating Profit Margin

22.08%
Operating Profit Margin

The operating profit margin of 22.08% is good but indicates that operational efficiency could still be optimized further.

About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

45.06%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Return on Assets (ROA)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate profits

2.80%

3% 7%

Higher values indicate better asset utilization

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

90.57%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

18.14%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Moderate Debt Levels

0.98
Debt-to-Equity Ratio

A debt-to-equity ratio of 0.98 indicates a balanced approach to leveraging, suggesting that the company is not overly reliant on debt for financing.

Strong Cash Position

$8.77
Cash per Share

With cash per share at approximately $8.77, ADSK maintains a healthy liquidity position to meet short-term obligations.

Low Current and Quick Ratios

0.68
Current Ratio
0.68
Quick Ratio

Current and quick ratios at 0.68 indicate potential liquidity issues, as they are below the ideal benchmark of 1.0, raising concerns about the ability to cover short-term liabilities.

Interest Coverage Ratio

0.0
Interest Coverage Ratio

An interest coverage ratio of 0.0 is alarming, indicating that the company is unable to cover its interest expenses, which could pose significant financial risk.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.98x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2025

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

0.68x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2025

Strong Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year Results

12%
Revenue Growth (Q4)
24%
Billings Growth (Q4)

Autodesk reported strong results with billings and revenue exceeding expectations, indicating strong demand and operational efficiency. The growth was broad-based across products and regions, showcasing the company's resilience.

Go-to-Market Optimization

37%
Non-GAAP Operating Margin (Fiscal 2025)

The company is entering an optimization phase in its go-to-market model, aiming to enhance customer satisfaction and productivity through streamlined processes and increased self-service capabilities. This positions Autodesk to better meet evolving customer needs.

Leadership in Industry Clouds and AI

$262 million
Contribution from New Transaction Model (Fiscal 2025)

Autodesk is leading in the convergence of design and make in the cloud, with significant investments in AI and industry-specific solutions that enhance customer value and expand their ecosystem.

Slow New Business Growth

New business growth has been slow due to macroeconomic uncertainties and changes in the company's operational model, which could impact future revenue growth.

Strong Guidance for Fiscal 2026

$2.075 billion - $2.175 billion
Projected Free Cash Flow (Fiscal 2026)

The guidance for constant currency billings growth of 17% to 19% and revenue growth of 8% to 9% indicates a robust outlook based on the company's ongoing optimization and strategic initiatives.

Investment in High-Growth Areas

Autodesk is reallocating resources to focus on high-potential strategic priorities such as AI and industry clouds, which are expected to drive future growth and profitability.

Uncertainty in Macro Environment

Ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties could impact customer investment decisions and new business growth, posing risks to achieving growth targets in the near term.

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