10Y annualized return is
positive but below market average
at 6.5% per year
AEP has met or exceeded earnings expectations in
some
recent quarters (6/10)
Moderate P/E Ratio
Reasonable Price-to-Sales Ratio
Strong Gross Profit Margin
Good Operating and Net Profit Margins
Manageable Interest Coverage
Strong Earnings Growth
Robust Capital Plan
Strategic Transactions
Data Center Load Growth
Innovative Solutions and Technology
Regulatory Engagement and Support
High EV/EBITDA Ratio
Negative P/FCF Ratio
Moderate Return on Equity
High Debt Levels
Low Liquidity Ratios
Overall, American Electric Power Company showcases a strong business model with solid financial performance and a comprehensive capital plan. The future looks promising with significant growth opportunities driven by data center demand and innovative energy solutions. The company's proactive regulatory engagement and strategic transactions further enhance its position, indicating a well-rounded approach to achieving long-term goals.
Analysis Date: February 13, 2025 Last Updated: March 11, 2025
+88%
+6.5% per year
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.
CountryUS
ExchangeNASDAQ
IndustryRegulated Electric
SectorUtilities
Market Cap$48.47B
CEOMr. William J. Fehrman
American Electric Power Company, Inc. (AEP) is a company that provides electricity to homes and businesses across the United States. They generate power using different sources like coal, natural gas, nuclear, and renewable energy like wind and solar. AEP not only sells electricity directly to customers but also supplies it to other companies and communities. Founded in 1906 and based in Columbus, Ohio, AEP plays a vital role in keeping the lights on for millions of people.
Core Products
β‘
Electricity GenerationPower generation from diverse sources
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Wholesale Power SupplySelling power to utilities
π
Electricity DistributionDelivering power to homes
π
Electricity TransmissionHigh voltage electricity transport
Business Type
Business to Business
Competitive Advantages
π‘οΈ
Regulatory ProtectionAs a regulated utility, AEP benefits from stable revenue streams and protection from competition, allowing for predictable earnings.
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Customer Base and ScaleAEP serves millions of customers across multiple states, leveraging economies of scale for operational efficiency and cost management.
π
Diverse Energy PortfolioAEP's utilization of various energy sources, including renewables, positions it well for changing market demands and environmental regulations.
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Established InfrastructureThe extensive transmission and distribution network built over decades provides a significant barrier to entry for new competitors.
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Innovative Technology IntegrationInvestment in smart grid technology enhances service reliability and operational efficiency, further solidifying AEP's market position.
Key Business Risks
π
Market VolatilityFluctuations in energy prices can affect revenue and margins, particularly in wholesale markets.
π
Environmental ImpactIncreased scrutiny and regulations regarding emissions may require costly upgrades and investments.
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Regulatory ComplianceChanges in regulations and policies can impact operational costs and profitability.
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Technological ChangesRapid advancements in energy technology may require significant investment to remain competitive.
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Supply Chain DisruptionsDependence on various energy sources exposes the company to risks from supply chain disruptions.
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Graham Value Metrics
Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.
Intrinsic Value
Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula
$127.60
Current Market Price: $105.25
IV/P Ratio: 1.21x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)
Margin of Safety
Gap between intrinsic value and market price
18.0%
Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety
Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value
Graham Criteria Checklist
Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for AEP
Positive earnings (5+ years)
Dividend history (5+ years)
P/E ratio β€ 20 (18.67)
P/B ratio β€ 1.5 (2.06)
Current ratio β₯ 2.0 (0.44x)
Long-term debt < Net current assets (-5.51x)
Margin of safety (18.0%)
AEP does not meet all Graham criteria
ROE: 11.249700236114416
ROA: None
Gross Profit Margin: 63.1799120747618
Net Profit Margin: 15.045154224113015
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Profitability & Past Results
Strengths
Strong Gross Profit Margin
56.59%
Gross Profit Margin
A gross profit margin of 56.59% indicates efficient management of production costs relative to sales, suggesting good profitability potential.
Good Operating and Net Profit Margins
22.74%
Operating Profit Margin
14.93%
Net Profit Margin
Operating profit margin of 22.74% and net profit margin of 14.93% reflect strong operational efficiency and effective cost management.
Weaknesses
Moderate Return on Equity
11.19%
Return on Equity
The return on equity (ROE) of 11.19% is decent but could be improved, indicating that there may be room for better capital efficiency.
About Profitability Metrics
Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.
Return on Equity (ROE)
Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits
11.25%
10%15%
Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders
TTM (as of 2025-04-25)
Gross Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold
63.18%
20%40%
Higher values indicate better efficiency in production
TTM (as of 2025-04-25)
Net Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses
An interest coverage ratio of 2.41 suggests that AEP generates sufficient operating income to cover its interest expenses, indicating reasonable creditworthiness.
Weaknesses
High Debt Levels
1.70
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
0.44
Debt-to-Assets Ratio
A debt-to-equity ratio of 1.70 and a debt-to-assets ratio of 0.44 indicate that AEP has a relatively high level of debt, which could pose risks in economic downturns.
Low Liquidity Ratios
0.44
Current Ratio
0.31
Quick Ratio
Both the current ratio (0.44) and quick ratio (0.31) are below 1, indicating potential liquidity issues and an inability to cover short-term liabilities.
About Financial Health Metrics
Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.
Debt to Equity Ratio
Total debt divided by total equity
1.70x
1.0x2.0x
Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk
Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk
Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good
Q4 2024
Historical Earnings Results
Meeting Expectations
6/10
Higher values indicate better execution and credibility
Recent Results
2025-02-13
-0.8%
2024-11-06
+2.8%
2024-07-30
+1.6%
2024-04-30
+1.6%
2024-02-26
-1.6%
2024-01-11
-2.4%
2023-11-02
+4.1%
2023-07-27
+0.9%
2023-05-04
-2.6%
2023-02-23
+6.1%
Earnings call from February 13, 2025
EPS
1.25
Estimated
1.24
Actual
-0.80%
Difference
Strengths
Strong Earnings Growth
$5.62
Operating Earnings per Share 2024
7%
Year-over-Year Earnings Growth
AEP reported a significant growth in operating earnings, with $5.62 per share for the full year 2024, which is a 7% increase from the previous year. This demonstrates a solid financial performance and commitment to delivering shareholder value.
Robust Capital Plan
$54 billion
Capital Plan Amount
AEP has a robust $54 billion capital plan set for 2025-2029, which is focused on enhancing infrastructure and meeting growing energy demand. This plan is supported by strong customer commitments, indicating confidence in future growth.
Strategic Transactions
$2.82 billion
Transaction Value
95%
Retained Asset Percentage
The company successfully executed a minority interest transaction for $2.82 billion which is highly accretive and allows for further investments while maintaining control over the majority of its assets.
Weaknesses
No weaknesses identified.
Opportunities
Data Center Load Growth
20 gigawatts
Incremental Load by 2030
12.3%
Commercial Load Growth 2024
AEP is aggressively pursuing data center loads, anticipating customer commitments that will lead to the addition of 20 gigawatts of incremental load by 2030. This is expected to drive significant revenue growth.
Innovative Solutions and Technology
100 megawatts
Fuel Cell Project Capacity
2
SMR Sites Considered
AEP is exploring partnerships for innovative solutions, such as fuel cells and small modular reactors (SMRs), to meet future energy demands and enhance customer resilience. This positions the company as a forward-thinking leader in the energy sector.
Regulatory Engagement and Support
Multiple
States with Positive Regulatory Outcomes
AEP has demonstrated strong engagement with regulators across its service areas, resulting in positive regulatory outcomes that support its financial and operational strategies.
Risks
No risks identified.
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