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ALGN
Align Technology, Inc.
Summary
Earnings Call Analysis
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Positive Strong Gross Profit Margin
Positive Low Debt Levels
Positive Strong Operating and Net Profit Margins
Positive Good Return on Equity
Positive Strong Interest Coverage
Positive Adequate Liquidity Ratios
Positive Strong Revenue Growth
Positive Market Leadership and Innovation
Positive Healthy Financial Metrics
Positive Innovative Product Launches
Positive Growth in Emerging Markets
Positive Positive Adoption Trends
Negative High P/E Ratio
Negative Elevated Price-to-Sales Ratio
Negative Low Cash Ratio
Negative Pressure on ASPs
Negative Operating Margin Decline
Negative Macro Economic Challenges
Negative Foreign Exchange Risks

Overall, Align Technology shows strong business quality with significant revenue growth and a solid market position, but faces challenges with ASP pressure and operating margins. The future looks promising with innovative products and potential growth in emerging markets, although macroeconomic uncertainties and foreign exchange risks pose challenges.

Analysis Date: February 5, 2025
Last Updated: March 11, 2025

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$70.78

Current Market Price: $151.02

IV/P Ratio: 0.47x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

-112.99999999999999%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for ALGN

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
No Dividend history (5+ years)
No P/E ratio ≤ 20 (27.11)
No P/B ratio ≤ 1.5 (2.97)
No Current ratio ≥ 2.0 (1.22x)
Yes Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.19x)
No Margin of safety (-112.99999999999999%)
No ALGN does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 11.005852316429552

ROA: 1.6703729926302577

Gross Profit Margin: 70.27030676577114

Net Profit Margin: 10.536652553180636

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Strong Operating and Net Profit Margins

15.97%
Operating Profit Margin
10.54%
Net Profit Margin

With operating and net profit margins of 15.97% and 10.54% respectively, ALGN demonstrates effective cost management and profitability.

Good Return on Equity

11.01%
Return on Equity

The return on equity (ROE) of 11.01% shows that the company is generating a solid return on shareholders' equity.

No profitability weaknesses identified.

About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

11.01%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Return on Assets (ROA)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate profits

1.67%

3% 7%

Higher values indicate better asset utilization

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

70.27%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

10.54%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Strong Interest Coverage

150.26
Interest Coverage Ratio

An interest coverage ratio of 150.26 indicates that ALGN can easily cover its interest obligations, showcasing strong financial health.

Adequate Liquidity Ratios

1.22
Current Ratio
1.10
Quick Ratio

Current and quick ratios of approximately 1.22 and 1.10 respectively suggest that ALGN has sufficient short-term assets to cover its liabilities.

Low Cash Ratio

0.51
Cash Ratio

The cash ratio of 0.51 indicates that while ALGN is liquid, it does not have as much cash on hand relative to its current liabilities compared to its peers.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.02x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

1.22x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

Strong Revenue Growth

$995 million
Q4 Total Revenues
6.1%
Q4 Clear Aligner Volume Growth
14.9%
Q4 Systems and Services Revenue Growth

ALGN reported a year-over-year revenue increase of 4% in Q4 2024, with significant contributions from both Systems and Services, which grew by 14.9%, and Clear Aligner volumes up 6.1%. This indicates a solid demand for ALGN's products.

Market Leadership and Innovation

272,000
Active Invisalign Practitioners
19.5 million
Total Invisalign Patients

The company has a strong market position with 272,000 active Invisalign trained practitioners and over 19.5 million Invisalign patients. Their focus on innovation, such as the iTero Lumina scanner and the Invisalign Palatal Expander, enhances their competitive edge.

Healthy Financial Metrics

$1.044 billion
Cash and Cash Equivalents
$353 million
Stock Repurchased

ALGN ended the year with a solid cash position of over $1 billion and no debt, allowing flexibility for investments and shareholder returns.

Pressure on ASPs

$55 year-over-year
Q4 Clear Aligner ASP Decrease

The average selling price (ASP) for Clear Aligners decreased due to unfavorable foreign exchange impacts and product mix shifts, which could affect profitability.

Operating Margin Decline

14.5%
Q4 Operating Margin

Despite overall growth, the operating margin decreased year-over-year, indicating pressure on profitability amidst rising operational costs.

Innovative Product Launches

iTero Lumina with restorative capabilities
New Product Launch

The introduction of new products like the iTero Lumina with restorative capabilities and the commercialization of the Invisalign Palatal Expander are expected to drive future growth.

Growth in Emerging Markets

Strong growth noted
Q4 Growth in Latin America

ALGN's growth in regions like Latin America and APAC, particularly in emerging markets, suggests substantial future revenue potential.

Positive Adoption Trends

868,000
Teen and Kids Cases Shipped

The continued increase in the number of doctors submitting cases and the record number of teen and kids starting treatment with Invisalign indicate a growing market demand.

Macro Economic Challenges

Low single-digits
2025 Revenue Growth Expectation

The overall orthodontic market has been flat, and ALGN expects low single-digit revenue growth in 2025, reflecting potential challenges in a muted macro environment.

Foreign Exchange Risks

2 points on revenue
FX Headwind Impact

The company faces a 2-point headwind from unfavorable foreign exchange rates, which could pressure future revenue and margins.

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