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BG
Bunge Limited
Summary
Earnings Call Analysis
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Positive Low Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Positive Attractive Price-to-Sales Ratio
Positive Low EV/EBITDA Ratio
Positive Decent Return on Equity
Positive Stable Gross Profit Margin
Positive Strong Liquidity Position
Positive Manageable Debt Levels
Positive Strong Market Position and Global Footprint
Positive Commitment to Sustainability and Innovation
Positive Active Share Repurchase Strategy
Positive Acquisition of Viterra
Positive Growth in Biofuel Demand
Positive Capital Investment in Growth Projects
Negative High Price-to-Free Cash Flow Ratio
Negative Low Operating and Net Profit Margins
Negative Cash Ratio Below 0.5
Negative Challenging Operating Conditions
Negative Volatility in Biofuel Margins
Negative Geopolitical and Policy Uncertainties
Negative Lower Expected Earnings in 2025

Bunge Limited demonstrates a strong market position and commitment to sustainability, though it faces challenges in the current operating environment and uncertainty regarding future earnings growth. The company's strategic acquisitions and capital investments provide a solid foundation for potential future success, despite short-term headwinds.

Analysis Date: February 5, 2025
Last Updated: April 12, 2025

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$274.83

Current Market Price: $71.06

IV/P Ratio: 3.87x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

74.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for BG

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
Yes P/E ratio ≤ 20 (8.88)
Yes P/B ratio ≤ 1.5 (0.92)
Yes Current ratio ≥ 2.0 (2.15x)
Yes Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.62x)
Yes Margin of safety (74.0%)
Yes BG meets all Graham criteria

ROE: 11.201694539543361

ROA: 2.417767781838628

Gross Profit Margin: 6.669428334714167

Net Profit Margin: 2.1409203886420127

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Decent Return on Equity

10.67
Return on Equity

A return on equity of 10.67% shows that the company is generating a reasonable return for its shareholders.

Stable Gross Profit Margin

6.67
Gross Profit Margin

The gross profit margin of 6.67% is indicative of the company's ability to retain earnings after accounting for the cost of goods sold.

Low Operating and Net Profit Margins

3.33
Operating Profit Margin
2.14
Net Profit Margin

Both operating profit margin (3.33%) and net profit margin (2.14%) are relatively low, suggesting challenges in managing costs and overall profitability.

About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

11.20%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Return on Assets (ROA)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate profits

2.42%

3% 7%

Higher values indicate better asset utilization

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

6.67%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

2.14%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Strong Liquidity Position

2.15
Current Ratio

A current ratio of 2.15 indicates that the company has more than enough current assets to cover its short-term liabilities, which is a sign of good liquidity.

Manageable Debt Levels

0.56
Debt-to-Equity Ratio

The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.56 suggests that the company is not overly reliant on debt for financing, which is a positive sign for financial stability.

Cash Ratio Below 0.5

0.45
Cash Ratio

A cash ratio of 0.45 indicates that the company may struggle to cover short-term obligations solely with cash, which could pose a liquidity risk.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.56x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

2.15x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

Strong Market Position and Global Footprint

11.1%
Adjusted ROIC
0.6 times
Adjusted Leverage Ratio

Bunge Limited operates with a robust global operating model, allowing for effective management of supply and demand across various regions. The company's established relationships with regulatory authorities and farmers enhance its competitive edge.

Commitment to Sustainability and Innovation

100% traceability for soy purchases
Sustainability Milestones

Bunge has achieved a significant milestone in traceability for soy purchases in Brazil, marking its commitment to sustainability. The company's partnerships aimed at developing lower carbon intensity feedstocks align with global sustainability trends.

Active Share Repurchase Strategy

$1.1 billion
Total Share Repurchases

The company has returned significant capital to shareholders through share repurchases, totaling $1.1 billion in 2024, which reflects confidence in its financial health and a commitment to enhancing shareholder value.

Challenging Operating Conditions

$2.13
Adjusted EPS (Q4 2024)

Bunge faced significant challenges in South America, impacting margins and operational performance. The company noted that these conditions contributed to an adjusted EPS drop in the fourth quarter of 2024.

Volatility in Biofuel Margins

Uncertainty regarding U.S. biofuel policies has created a volatile environment that negatively affected margins, particularly in North America, which could impact future earnings.

Acquisition of Viterra

The acquisition of Viterra is expected to enhance Bunge's asset diversification and capabilities, positioning the company to better navigate future market challenges and opportunities.

Growth in Biofuel Demand

Bunge anticipates increased global demand for biofuels, particularly soy oil, as policies become clearer and markets stabilize, providing potential for revenue growth.

Capital Investment in Growth Projects

$1.5 to $1.7 billion
Projected CapEx (2025)

Bunge plans to invest between $1.5 billion and $1.7 billion in capital expenditures in 2025, focusing on large multiyear growth projects, which should support future earnings.

Geopolitical and Policy Uncertainties

The company highlighted limited visibility in its outlook due to geopolitical uncertainty and evolving biofuel policies, which may hinder growth in the near term.

Lower Expected Earnings in 2025

$7.75
Projected Adjusted EPS (2025)

Bunge's guidance for 2025 anticipates adjusted EPS to remain flat at approximately $7.75, indicating potential stagnation in earnings growth amid ongoing challenges.

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