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CART
Instacart (Maplebear Inc.)
Summary
Earnings Call Analysis
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Positive Reasonable P/E Ratio
Positive Strong Price to Sales Ratio
Positive Strong Gross Profit Margin
Positive Good Net Profit Margin
Positive Excellent Liquidity Ratios
Positive Minimal Debt Levels
Positive Strong Market Position
Positive Innovative Solutions and Technology
Positive Robust Financial Performance
Positive Growth in User Engagement
Positive Continued Innovation and Expansion
Negative High EV/EBITDA Ratio
Negative Low Operating Profit Margin
Negative Zero Interest Coverage
Negative Pressure on Average Order Value (AOV)
Negative Challenges in Advertising Revenue Growth

Instacart demonstrates strong business quality with a dominant market position, innovative solutions, and solid financial performance. However, it faces challenges regarding average order value and advertising growth amidst a mixed macroeconomic landscape. Future prospects appear promising due to user engagement and innovation, though advertising growth may be constrained by external factors.

Analysis Date: February 25, 2025
Last Updated: March 11, 2025

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$22.06

Current Market Price: $38.20

IV/P Ratio: 0.58x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

-73.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for CART

No Positive earnings (5+ years)
No Dividend history (5+ years)
No P/E ratio ≤ 20 (21.17)
No P/B ratio ≤ 1.5 (3.13)
Yes Current ratio ≥ 2.0 (3.38x)
Yes Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.01x)
No Margin of safety (-73.0%)
No CART does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 14.61698384775308

ROA: 3.5965978128797085

Gross Profit Margin: 75.1036116044997

Net Profit Margin: 13.528715216104203

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Strong Gross Profit Margin

75.11
Gross Profit Margin

CART's gross profit margin of 75.11% indicates high efficiency in production and pricing power, which is a strong indicator of profitability.

Good Net Profit Margin

13.46
Net Profit Margin

The net profit margin of 13.46% demonstrates that CART is effective at converting revenue into actual profit, highlighting strong financial management.

Low Operating Profit Margin

12.16
Operating Profit Margin

With an operating profit margin of 12.16%, CART may face challenges controlling operational costs, which could impact long-term profitability.

About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

14.62%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Return on Assets (ROA)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate profits

3.60%

3% 7%

Higher values indicate better asset utilization

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

75.10%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

13.53%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Excellent Liquidity Ratios

3.06
Current Ratio
3.06
Quick Ratio

CART has a current ratio of 3.06 and a quick ratio of 3.06, indicating strong liquidity and ability to cover short-term obligations.

Minimal Debt Levels

0.0097
Debt to Equity

CART's debt to equity ratio is a mere 0.0097, showcasing its low leverage and solid financial stability.

Zero Interest Coverage

0.0
Interest Coverage

An interest coverage ratio of 0.0 indicates that CART does not currently generate enough earnings to cover interest expenses, which is a significant concern.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.01x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

3.38x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

Strong Market Position

70%
Market Share in Large Baskets
Outpacing overall user growth
Growth in Instacart+ Members

Instacart holds a dominant share in the digital grocery space, leading the market with over 70% share in large basket transactions, and attracting a growing number of users. The company also demonstrates robust engagement metrics with Instacart+ members, who are increasing in both frequency and loyalty.

Innovative Solutions and Technology

Double-digit growth reported
Increase in Sales with Caper
Over 7,000
Active Brand Partners

Instacart continually invests in innovation, including enhanced advertising solutions and enterprise technologies, which contribute to improved performance and customer satisfaction. This includes the rollout of Caper Carts, which have shown positive sales lifts for retailers.

Robust Financial Performance

10%
Year-over-Year Transaction Revenue Growth
27%
Adjusted EBITDA Growth

The company reported strong financial results, including a 10% year-over-year growth in transaction revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth of 27%. These metrics reflect solid operating fundamentals and effective cost management.

Pressure on Average Order Value (AOV)

1% year-over-year
AOV Decline

The company has experienced a decline in average order value due to the introduction of lower minimum basket thresholds and the growth in restaurant orders, which generally have lower AOVs. This could impact overall revenue generation.

Growth in User Engagement

Strongest in recent years
User Engagement Increase

Instacart is witnessing strong engagement and retention among new cohorts, with increased order frequency and a loyal customer base, which bodes well for future growth.

Continued Innovation and Expansion

30
Projected New Retailer Sites Launched in 2024

The company has a clear roadmap for innovation, including further development of its advertising solutions and expanding its enterprise capabilities, which are expected to drive additional revenue streams.

Challenges in Advertising Revenue Growth

Less than 15% medium-term
Expected Advertising Growth Rate

While advertising revenue is expected to grow, there are concerns about the overall macroeconomic environment affecting food and beverage budgets, which may hinder faster growth compared to larger retail media platforms.

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