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CFG
Citizens Financial Group, Inc.
Summary
Earnings Call Analysis
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Positive Attractive Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Positive Low Price-to-Book Ratio
Positive Strong Profit Margins
Positive Good Return on Equity
Positive Excellent Liquidity Ratios
Positive Low Debt Levels
Positive Strong Financial Performance
Positive Positive Credit Trends
Positive Strong Capital Position
Positive Growth Initiatives in Private Banking
Positive Optimistic NII and Fee Growth Outlook
Negative Moderate Price-to-Sales Ratio
Negative Operating Profit Margin
Negative Interest Coverage Concern
Negative Subdued Loan Demand
Negative Uncertain Loan Growth

Citizens Financial Group demonstrates strong business quality with solid financial performance and effective risk management. However, subdued loan demand poses a challenge. Future prospects appear promising with the growth of the private bank and expectations for NII and fees, though loan growth remains uncertain in the near term.

Analysis Date: January 17, 2025
Last Updated: April 12, 2025

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$131.80

Current Market Price: $33.98

IV/P Ratio: 3.88x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

74.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for CFG

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
Yes P/E ratio ≤ 20 (10.01)
Yes P/B ratio ≤ 1.5 (0.62)
Yes Current ratio ≥ 2.0 (16.92x)
Yes Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.33x)
Yes Margin of safety (74.0%)
Yes CFG meets all Graham criteria

ROE: 6.234506693108576

ROA: 0.18435001677998905

Gross Profit Margin: 100.0

Net Profit Margin: 17.070135746606336

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Strong Profit Margins

0.1707
Net Profit Margin

CFG displays solid net profit margin at 17.07%, indicating effective cost management and good profitability from its revenues.

Good Return on Equity

0.0623
Return on Equity

The return on equity (ROE) of 6.23% reflects a decent ability to generate profit from shareholders' equity.

Operating Profit Margin

0.21199
Operating Profit Margin

An operating profit margin of 21.20% is solid, but there is room for improvement in operational efficiency.

About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

6.23%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Return on Assets (ROA)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate profits

0.18%

3% 7%

Higher values indicate better asset utilization

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

100.00%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

17.07%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Excellent Liquidity Ratios

16.92
Current Ratio
16.92
Quick Ratio

CFG has a current ratio of 16.92 and a quick ratio of 16.92, indicating exceptional liquidity and the ability to cover short-term obligations easily.

Low Debt Levels

0.51
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
0.06
Debt-to-Assets Ratio

The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.51 and debt-to-assets ratio of 0.06 demonstrate strong balance sheet management with low dependence on debt.

Interest Coverage Concern

0.41
Interest Coverage Ratio

An interest coverage ratio of 0.41 suggests that CFG may face challenges in covering its interest expenses, indicating potential risk if earnings fluctuate.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.51x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

16.92x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

Strong Financial Performance

3%
NII Growth
10 basis points
NIM Expansion

The company reported strong sequential revenue growth led by net interest margin (NIM) expansion and capital markets fees. The net interest income (NII) grew by 3% sequentially, demonstrating strong financial health.

Positive Credit Trends

Sequential decline
NPAs Reduction
17%
Criticized Assets Reduction

Credit trends are favorable, with non-performing assets (NPAs) down sequentially and criticized assets trending down. This indicates effective risk management and a strong credit portfolio.

Strong Capital Position

10.8%
CET1 Ratio

The company's CET1 ratio strengthened to 10.8%, indicating a robust capital position that supports growth and stability.

Subdued Loan Demand

Subdued
Loan Demand Status

There is subdued loan demand which could limit growth potential. The company has managed to offset this but it remains a challenge.

Growth Initiatives in Private Banking

$12 billion
Private Bank Deposit Target
$11 billion
Private Bank AUM Target

The private bank initiative is ramping up successfully, with a target to reach $12 billion in deposits and $11 billion in assets under management (AUM) by 2025, which is expected to be accretive to the bottom line.

Optimistic NII and Fee Growth Outlook

3% to 5%
NII Growth Projection
8% to 10%
Fee Growth Projection

The company expects solid growth in NII driven by further NIM expansion and a resumption of modest net loan growth, alongside fee growth of 8% to 10%.

Uncertain Loan Growth

Mid-single digits excluding non-core
Loan Growth Projection

While there is a projection for mid-single-digit loan growth, actual loan growth may remain subdued in the first half of 2025 due to market dynamics and the ongoing run-off of non-core loans.

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