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CINF
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Summary
Earnings Call Analysis
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Positive Attractive Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Positive Low Price-to-Sales Ratio
Positive Strong Net Profit Margin
Positive High Return on Equity
Positive Low Debt Levels
Positive Strong Liquidity Ratios
Positive Strong Operating Performance
Positive Robust Premium Growth
Positive Financial Strength and Flexibility
Positive Capital Management and Dividend Growth
Positive Positive Outlook for Reinsurance Market
Negative Moderate EV/EBITDA Ratio
Negative Operating Profit Margin
Negative Interest Coverage Ratio
Negative Impact of Catastrophic Losses
Negative Potential Pricing Cycle Moderation

Cincinnati Financial Corporation demonstrates strong business quality through excellent operating metrics, robust growth, and financial stability. Future prospects remain positive, though potential challenges from catastrophic losses and pricing cycle moderation need to be monitored closely.

Analysis Date: February 11, 2025
Last Updated: March 11, 2025

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$564.93

Current Market Price: $132.00

IV/P Ratio: 4.28x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

77.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for CINF

No Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
Yes P/E ratio ≤ 20 (8.97)
Yes P/B ratio ≤ 1.5 (1.48)
No Current ratio ≥ 2.0 (1.16x)
Yes Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.45x)
Yes Margin of safety (77.0%)
No CINF does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 17.242806093661837

ROA: 1.10955864222898

Gross Profit Margin: 100.0

Net Profit Margin: 20.216988621328394

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Strong Net Profit Margin

20.22
Net Profit Margin

CINF's net profit margin of 20.22% indicates strong profitability after accounting for all expenses, which is above average for the industry.

High Return on Equity

17.24
Return on Equity

With a return on equity of 17.24%, CINF demonstrates effective use of equity financing to generate profits.

Operating Profit Margin

12.05
Operating Profit Margin

The operating profit margin of 12.05% is decent but could be improved to enhance overall profitability.

About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

17.24%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Return on Assets (ROA)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate profits

1.11%

3% 7%

Higher values indicate better asset utilization

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

100.00%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

20.22%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Low Debt Levels

0.06
Debt-to-Equity Ratio

CINF has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06, indicating very low reliance on debt for financing, which is a strong point for financial stability.

Strong Liquidity Ratios

1.16
Current Ratio
1.16
Quick Ratio
1.16
Cash Ratio

Current, quick, and cash ratios all at approximately 1.16 show that the company is well-positioned to cover its short-term obligations.

Interest Coverage Ratio

25.77
Interest Coverage Ratio

While the interest coverage ratio is high at 25.77, it is important to maintain this level to ensure ongoing financial health.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.06x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

1.16x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

Strong Operating Performance

93.4%
Full Year Combined Ratio
24%
Net Income Growth

Cincinnati Financial Corporation reported strong operating performance with a combined ratio of 93.4% for the full year 2024, showcasing improvement in underwriting efficiency. This indicates effective cost management and profitability within the insurance sector.

Robust Premium Growth

17%
Q4 Net Written Premium Growth
23%
New Business Premium Growth

The company experienced significant premium growth, with a 17% increase in net written premiums for Q4 2024. The growth was driven by strong retention rates and new business development, indicating effective underwriting practices.

Financial Strength and Flexibility

$14 billion
Total Shareholders' Equity
<10%
Debt to Total Capital

Cincinnati Financial maintains a strong financial position with total shareholders' equity of nearly $14 billion and a debt-to-capital ratio under 10%, demonstrating financial resilience and capability for future investments.

No weaknesses identified.

Capital Management and Dividend Growth

7%
Dividend Increase
65 years
Years of Dividend Growth

The company has a strong history of returning capital to shareholders with a 7% increase in dividends planned for April 2025, extending their streak to 65 years, which reflects confidence in future performance.

Positive Outlook for Reinsurance Market

85.0%
Cincinnati Re Combined Ratio

Cincinnati Re is expected to remain profitable and capitalize on opportunities in the reinsurance market, indicating a proactive approach to risk management and growth in premium income.

Impact of Catastrophic Losses

$450 to $525 million
Estimated Loss from Wildfires

The recent California wildfires are expected to incur estimated losses of $450 to $525 million, which could impact short-term profitability despite the long-term resilience and planning measures in place.

Potential Pricing Cycle Moderation

Concerns about moderation in pricing cycles, particularly in commercial lines, may affect future premium growth, requiring careful monitoring of underwriting practices.

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