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COF
Capital One Financial Corporation
Summary
Earnings Call Analysis
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Positive Attractive Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Positive Low Price-to-Book Ratio
Positive Strong Net Profit Margin
Positive Consistent Gross Profit Margin
Positive Low Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Positive Strong Financial Performance
Positive Diverse and Stable Portfolio
Positive Strong Market Position and Competitive Advantages
Positive Growth in Consumer Banking and Auto Loans
Positive Strategic Acquisition of Discover
Positive Stabilizing Credit Metrics
Negative Concerns Over Debt Levels
Negative High Price-to-Cash Flow Ratio
Negative Moderate Return on Equity
Negative Operating Profit Margin Concerns
Negative Liquidity Ratios Below Standard
Negative Weak Interest Coverage
Negative Increased Non-Interest Expense
Negative Rising Charge-Off Rates
Negative Potential for Economic Pressures
Negative Regulatory Approval Delays

Capital One demonstrates strong business quality through solid financial performance, a diverse portfolio, and competitive advantages, though faces challenges with increasing expenses and charge-off rates. Future prospects are bolstered by growth initiatives in consumer banking and a strategic acquisition, while economic pressures and regulatory hurdles present potential risks.

Analysis Date: January 21, 2025
Last Updated: March 11, 2025

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$477.85

Current Market Price: $150.67

IV/P Ratio: 3.17x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

68.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for COF

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
Yes P/E ratio ≤ 20 (12.13)
Yes P/B ratio ≤ 1.5 (0.95)
No Current ratio ≥ 2.0
No Long-term debt < Net current assets
Yes Margin of safety (68.0%)
No COF does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 7.933492281547115

ROA: 0.22360775608800681

Gross Profit Margin: 100.06020599049606

Net Profit Margin: 10.213516244866364

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Strong Net Profit Margin

10.21%
Net Profit Margin

The net profit margin of 10.21% indicates that the company retains a solid portion of its revenue as profit, reflecting efficient cost management.

Consistent Gross Profit Margin

100.06%
Gross Profit Margin

The gross profit margin of 100.06% indicates strong pricing power and effective cost of goods sold management.

Moderate Return on Equity

7.93%
Return on Equity

The return on equity of 7.93% is relatively low, suggesting that the company may not be utilizing its equity effectively to generate profits.

Operating Profit Margin Concerns

11.39%
Operating Profit Margin

The operating profit margin of 11.39% is moderate, indicating potential room for improvement in operational efficiency.

About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

7.93%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Return on Assets (ROA)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate profits

0.22%

3% 7%

Higher values indicate better asset utilization

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

100.06%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

10.21%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Low Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.74
Debt-to-Equity Ratio

With a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.74, the company maintains a manageable level of debt relative to its equity, indicating a balanced approach to financing.

Liquidity Ratios Below Standard

0.0
Current Ratio
0.0
Quick Ratio

The current ratio and quick ratio both stand at 0.0, indicating potential liquidity issues, as the company may struggle to meet short-term obligations.

Weak Interest Coverage

0.36
Interest Coverage

An interest coverage ratio of 0.36 suggests that the company may have difficulty covering its interest expenses, raising concerns about its ability to manage debt.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.74x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

COF: No data available

Strong Financial Performance

$1.1 billion
Fourth Quarter Net Income
$13.96
Full Year Adjusted EPS

Capital One reported significant earnings with a fourth-quarter net income of $1.1 billion, and a full-year earnings of $4.8 billion. The adjusted earnings per share for the full year was $13.96, showcasing robust profitability.

Diverse and Stable Portfolio

9% year-over-year
Domestic Card Revenue Growth
4.53% (improved year-over-year)
30-plus Delinquency Rate

Capital One has a diverse business model that includes credit cards, consumer banking, and commercial banking. Their Domestic Card business continues to see top-line growth and stable credit metrics even amidst economic pressures.

Strong Market Position and Competitive Advantages

6.06%
Charge-off Rate
6%
Average Loans Increased

Capital One has a strong presence in the credit card sector, with a focus on high-value customer segments. Their strategic investments in technology and marketing continue to enhance their competitive edge.

Increased Non-Interest Expense

13%
Increase in Non-Interest Expense

The company faced a 13% increase in non-interest expenses in the fourth quarter, driven by higher marketing spend and operating expenses, which could impact future profitability.

Rising Charge-Off Rates

45 basis points
Sequential Charge-Off Rate Increase

The company reported a sequential increase in charge-off rates, which could indicate potential credit quality deterioration in certain segments.

Growth in Consumer Banking and Auto Loans

53% year-over-year
Auto Originations Growth

Capital One's Consumer Banking segment saw auto originations increase by 53% year-over-year, indicating a strong recovery and potential for further growth in 2025.

Strategic Acquisition of Discover

Early 2025
Expected Completion of Discover Acquisition

The acquisition of Discover is expected to enhance Capital One's competitive position in consumer banking and global payments, potentially increasing customer base and market reach.

Stabilizing Credit Metrics

Down 8 basis points year-over-year
30-plus Delinquency Rate Improvement

Improvement in delinquency rates and credit performance trends suggest that Capital One is positioned well for future credit stability and growth.

Potential for Economic Pressures

Ongoing concern for consumers
High Interest Rates Impact

High interest rates and inflationary pressures may impact consumer spending and credit performance, posing challenges for future growth.

Regulatory Approval Delays

Ongoing process
Regulatory Approval Timeline

Pending regulatory approvals for the Discover acquisition may delay full integration and realization of synergies, affecting short-term growth.

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