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CPAY
Corpay, Inc.
Summary
Earnings Call Analysis
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Positive Strong Gross Profit Margin
Positive Return on Equity
Positive High Operating Profit Margin
Positive Strong Net Profit Margin
Positive Interest Coverage Ratio
Positive Strong Revenue Growth
Positive Solid Retention Rates
Positive Successful Acquisitions Integration
Positive Guidance for 2025
Positive Expansion Plans in Europe and the Enterprise Segment
Positive Focus on Multi-Currency Account Product
Negative High Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Negative High Price-to-Sales Ratio
Negative High Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Negative Low Current and Quick Ratios
Negative Macro Headwinds Impacting Revenue
Negative Mixed Performance in Lodging and Vehicle Payments
Negative Uncertainty Due to Macro Environment

Overall, Corpay demonstrates a solid business model with strong revenue growth and effective acquisition integration. However, macroeconomic challenges and mixed performance in certain segments present risks. Future prospects appear positive with strategic expansions and product innovations planned for 2025.

Analysis Date: February 5, 2025
Last Updated: March 11, 2025

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$538.94

Current Market Price: $289.82

IV/P Ratio: 1.86x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

46.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for CPAY

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
No Dividend history (5+ years)
No P/E ratio ≤ 20 (20.11)
No P/B ratio ≤ 1.5 (6.46)
No Current ratio ≥ 2.0 (1.00x)
Yes Long-term debt < Net current assets (-227.56x)
Yes Margin of safety (46.0%)
No CPAY does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 32.86996190098349

ROA: 1.3700826271985425

Gross Profit Margin: 80.98261229022674

Net Profit Margin: 25.254082874984057

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

High Operating Profit Margin

45.42%
Operating Profit Margin

The operating profit margin of 45.42% reflects strong operational efficiency and a solid ability to convert revenue into operating income.

Strong Net Profit Margin

25.25%
Net Profit Margin

The net profit margin of 25.25% indicates that the company retains a significant portion of its revenues as profit after all expenses, demonstrating effective cost management.

No profitability weaknesses identified.

About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

32.87%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Return on Assets (ROA)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate profits

1.37%

3% 7%

Higher values indicate better asset utilization

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

80.98%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

25.25%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Interest Coverage Ratio

4.71
Interest Coverage Ratio

An interest coverage ratio of 4.71 indicates that the company can comfortably cover its interest expenses from its earnings, suggesting lower financial risk.

High Debt-to-Equity Ratio

2.14
Debt-to-Equity Ratio

A debt-to-equity ratio of 2.14 indicates that the company is heavily leveraged, which may pose risks if cash flows are insufficient to meet debt obligations.

Low Current and Quick Ratios

0.997
Current Ratio
0.997
Quick Ratio

A current ratio of 0.997 and quick ratio of 0.997 indicate potential liquidity issues, as the company has less than one dollar in current assets for every dollar of current liabilities.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

2.12x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

1.00x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

Strong Revenue Growth

10%
Q4 Revenue Growth
26%
Corporate Payments Organic Growth

Corpay reported Q4 revenue of $1,034 million, up 10% year-over-year. The corporate payments line showed impressive organic revenue growth of 26%, indicating strong demand and sales capabilities.

Solid Retention Rates

92%
Retention Rate

The company's retention rate remained steady at 92%, indicating high customer satisfaction and loyalty, which is crucial for sustaining revenue in a competitive market.

Successful Acquisitions Integration

$0.50
EPS Accretion from Acquisitions

The integration of recent acquisitions, such as Paymerang and GPS, is progressing well, with expectations of delivering $0.50 cash EPS accretion from these deals in 2025.

Macro Headwinds Impacting Revenue

$100 million
Estimated Revenue Compression

The company faced unfavorable macro conditions that compressed print revenue by over $100 million, primarily due to weak international currencies and a higher tax rate.

Mixed Performance in Lodging and Vehicle Payments

5-6%
Vehicle Payments Expected Growth

The Lodging and U.S. Vehicle Payments segments have experienced challenges, with the latter only expected to grow modestly, indicating potential underlying issues that need addressing.

Guidance for 2025

$4.4 billion
2025 Revenue Guidance
$21
2025 Cash EPS Guidance

Corpay has provided optimistic guidance for 2025, targeting $4.4 billion in revenue and $21 cash EPS, both reflecting an 11% increase, showcasing confidence in business fundamentals.

Expansion Plans in Europe and the Enterprise Segment

Europe
New Market Expansion
Enterprise
Target Segment

The company plans to expand its Payables business into the European market and move upmarket to target enterprise clients, opening new avenues for growth.

Focus on Multi-Currency Account Product

Multi-Currency Account
New Product Introduction

The planned expansion of the Multi-Currency Account product aims to simplify cross-border transactions for clients, potentially enhancing competitive positioning against traditional banks.

Uncertainty Due to Macro Environment

High
Macroeconomic Challenges

Despite strong underlying business fundamentals, the company faces uncertainty from unfavorable macroeconomic conditions, such as FX rates and interest rates, which could affect growth.

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