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CPB
Campbell Soup Company
Summary
Earnings Call Analysis
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Positive Reasonable Price-to-Sales Ratio
Positive Strong Gross Profit Margin
Positive Decent Operating Profit Margin
Positive Interest Coverage Ratio
Positive Strong Leadership Brands
Positive Successful Sovos Integration
Positive Solid Financial Management
Positive Positive Consumer Trends
Positive Innovation and Marketing Investments
Positive Strategic Focus on Premium Segments
Negative High Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Negative Low Net Profit Margin
Negative Average Return on Equity
Negative High Debt Levels
Negative Liquidity Concerns
Negative Organic Sales Challenges
Negative Competitive Pressure in Snacks
Negative Uncertain Market Conditions
Negative Potential Margin Compression

Overall, Campbell's Company demonstrates a solid business model supported by strong leadership brands and effective integration of acquisitions. However, challenges in organic sales and competitive pressure in certain segments pose risks to future growth. The company is well-positioned for potential recovery, but must navigate a dynamic market environment and maintain discipline in pricing and promotional strategies.

Analysis Date: December 4, 2024
Last Updated: March 11, 2025

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$36.63

Current Market Price: $38.81

IV/P Ratio: 0.94x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

-6.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for CPB

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
No P/E ratio ≤ 20 (22.19)
No P/B ratio ≤ 1.5 (2.96)
No Current ratio ≥ 2.0 (0.93x)
Yes Long-term debt < Net current assets (-28.00x)
No Margin of safety (-6.0%)
No CPB does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 13.480820234167798

ROA: 0.0036455059710873666

Gross Profit Margin: 30.28955430378496

Net Profit Margin: 3.4448067990908195

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Strong Gross Profit Margin

0.3029
Gross Profit Margin

With a gross profit margin of 30.29%, CPB exhibits strong profitability at the gross level, indicating effective cost management relative to sales.

Decent Operating Profit Margin

0.1036
Operating Profit Margin

The operating profit margin of 10.36% reflects a reasonable ability to generate profit from operations, which is favorable for investors.

Low Net Profit Margin

0.0344
Net Profit Margin

The net profit margin of 3.44% is relatively low, indicating that a smaller proportion of revenue is converted into actual profit, which could concern investors about earnings quality.

Average Return on Equity

0.0902
Return on Equity

A return on equity of 9.02% suggests that the company is generating modest returns for shareholders, which may not be sufficient to attract growth-focused investors.

About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

13.48%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Return on Assets (ROA)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate profits

0.00%

3% 7%

Higher values indicate better asset utilization

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

30.29%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

3.44%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Interest Coverage Ratio

4.3306
Interest Coverage Ratio

An interest coverage ratio of 4.33 indicates that the company can comfortably meet its interest obligations, reflecting good financial stability.

High Debt Levels

1.9629
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
0.4824
Debt-to-Assets Ratio

With a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.96 and a debt-to-assets ratio of 48.24%, CPB is highly leveraged, which poses risks in times of economic downturns.

Liquidity Concerns

0.932
Current Ratio
0.5546
Quick Ratio

Current and quick ratios below 1 (0.93 and 0.55 respectively) indicate potential liquidity issues, suggesting the company may struggle to meet short-term obligations.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

1.96x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q2 2025

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

0.93x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q2 2025

Strong Leadership Brands

2% dollar consumption growth
Leadership Brands Growth
Top 1 or 2 in almost all categories
Market Position

Campbell's has successfully established 16 Leadership Brands that dominate their respective categories, showing dollar consumption growth and positive share performance. This provides a robust portfolio that drives overall company performance.

Successful Sovos Integration

12 percentage points
Sovos Contribution to Net Sales Growth
>10% for fiscal '25
Pro Forma Growth Expectation for Rao's

The integration of Sovos Brands, particularly the Rao's brand, has exceeded expectations, contributing significantly to net sales and enhancing the Meals & Beverages division's performance.

Solid Financial Management

$250 million over three years
Cost Savings Program
5% increase announced
Dividend Increase

Campbell's has demonstrated strong financial discipline, with plans for cost savings and a commitment to returning cash to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.

Organic Sales Challenges

-1%
Organic Net Sales Change

Organic net sales were down 1%, indicating struggles in certain segments due to inventory movements and a dynamic consumer environment, which could affect long-term growth.

Competitive Pressure in Snacks

-2%
Snacks Organic Net Sales Change
13.3%
Snacks Operating Margin

The Snacks division has experienced declining organic net sales and margin pressure, particularly from new entrants and private label products, which could threaten profitability.

Positive Consumer Trends

Continuous recovery expected throughout fiscal '25
Projected Consumer Recovery

There is an anticipated recovery in consumer confidence and food volumes, which may support future growth for Campbell's, particularly in their Leadership Brands.

Innovation and Marketing Investments

13% year-over-year increase
Marketing Expense Increase

Planned increases in marketing and innovation efforts, especially during the crucial holiday season, are expected to drive sales and market share growth.

Strategic Focus on Premium Segments

Surging at more than double the category's pace
Millennial Household Adoption of Rao's

Campbell's is focusing on premium products like Rao's that are gaining traction among younger demographics, indicating potential for future market expansion.

Uncertain Market Conditions

Below-algorithm expectations for next calendar year
Market Growth Projection

The broader food industry is experiencing pressures that could impact Campbell's growth trajectory, with some analysts projecting below-algorithm growth for the next year.

Potential Margin Compression

Potential pressure in the Snacks division
Expected Margin Compression

Continued pressure on margins due to inflation and competitive pricing in the Snacks segment may hinder profitability if not managed effectively.

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