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CVS
CVS Health Corporation
Summary
Earnings Call Analysis
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Positive Attractive Price to Earnings Ratio
Positive Low Price to Sales Ratio
Positive Strong Free Cash Flow Yield
Positive Reasonable Operating Cash Flow per Share
Positive Manageable Debt Levels
Positive Interest Coverage Ratio
Positive Strong Market Position and Consumer Reach
Positive Focus on Affordable and Accessible Healthcare
Positive Innovative Pricing Models
Positive Growth in Health Services and Innovation
Positive Focus on Medicare and Medicaid Improvements
Negative High EV/EBITDA Ratio
Negative Low Net Profit Margin
Negative Liquidity Concerns
Negative Challenges in Medicare Advantage Business
Negative Projected Decline in Membership

CVS Health demonstrates strong market positioning and a commitment to improving healthcare accessibility but faces significant challenges, particularly in its Medicare Advantage segment. Future growth prospects hinge on effective execution of strategic initiatives and ongoing innovation in healthcare services.

Analysis Date: February 12, 2025
Last Updated: March 11, 2025

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$64.10

Current Market Price: $63.75

IV/P Ratio: 1.01x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

1.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for CVS

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
Yes P/E ratio ≤ 20 (17.37)
Yes P/B ratio ≤ 1.5 (1.06)
No Current ratio ≥ 2.0 (0.81x)
Yes Long-term debt < Net current assets (-4.72x)
Yes Margin of safety (1.0%)
No CVS does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 6.164287479709555

ROA: 0.6492506368106156

Gross Profit Margin: 13.787489035940656

Net Profit Margin: 1.2376310657736267

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Strong Free Cash Flow Yield

7.62
Free Cash Flow Yield

CVS has a free cash flow yield of 7.62%, which is a positive indicator of its ability to generate cash relative to its market value.

Reasonable Operating Cash Flow per Share

7.23
Operating Cash Flow per Share

The operating cash flow per share stands at $7.23, reflecting decent cash generation capabilities from operations.

Low Net Profit Margin

1.24
Net Profit Margin

CVS's net profit margin is only 1.24%, indicating challenges in converting revenue into profit, which is below industry norms.

About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

6.16%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Return on Assets (ROA)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate profits

0.65%

3% 7%

Higher values indicate better asset utilization

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

13.79%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

1.24%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Manageable Debt Levels

1.1
Debt to Equity Ratio

The debt-to-equity ratio is 1.10, which, while indicating some leverage, is typical for the industry and suggests that CVS is managing its debt effectively.

Interest Coverage Ratio

2.88
Interest Coverage Ratio

An interest coverage ratio of 2.88 indicates that CVS generates sufficient profits to cover interest expenses, showing reasonable financial stability.

Liquidity Concerns

0.81
Current Ratio
0.6
Quick Ratio

The current ratio of 0.81 and quick ratio of 0.60 suggest potential liquidity issues, indicating that CVS may have difficulty meeting short-term obligations.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

1.09x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

0.81x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

Strong Market Position and Consumer Reach

185 million Americans
Consumer Reach

CVS Health connects with 185 million Americans through various channels such as retail stores, clinics, health plans, and pharmacy benefits management. This extensive reach provides a unique competitive advantage in the healthcare market.

Focus on Affordable and Accessible Healthcare

The leadership emphasizes a commitment to improving outcomes, access, and lowering healthcare costs while ensuring a positive consumer experience. This reflects a strong business model focused on addressing the critical needs of the healthcare system.

Innovative Pricing Models

CVS introduced CostVantage and TrueCost models aimed at increasing transparency and aligning pharmacy reimbursement with actual costs, which is expected to strengthen profitability and customer satisfaction.

Challenges in Medicare Advantage Business

-4.5% to -5%
Medicare Advantage Margin

The Aetna segment faced significant challenges with margins, driven by elevated medical costs and underperformance. The business ended the year with negative margins, indicating ongoing issues that need to be addressed.

Growth in Health Services and Innovation

$185 billion
Expected Health Services Revenue

The health services segment, particularly through Caremark, is expected to drive revenue growth. The company also plans to invest in emerging technologies and further develop integrated healthcare capabilities.

Focus on Medicare and Medicaid Improvements

CVS is actively working to stabilize its Medicare Advantage and Medicaid businesses, with initiatives aimed at improving margins and enhancing service delivery. This includes advocating for better reimbursement rates.

Projected Decline in Membership

1 million members
Projected Membership Decline

The company anticipates a decline in Medicare Advantage and individual exchange membership, which could negatively impact overall revenue and profitability in the short term.

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