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DAY
Dayforce Inc
Summary
Earnings Call Analysis
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Positive High Gross Profit Margin
Positive Operating Profit Margin
Positive Strong Liquidity Ratios
Positive Low Debt Levels
Positive Strong Revenue Growth
Positive High Customer Retention and Satisfaction
Positive Product Innovation and Market Leadership
Positive Projected Revenue Growth
Positive Continued Investment in AI and Automation
Positive Expansion of Professional Services Margins
Negative Extremely High P/E Ratio
Negative High Price-to-Sales Ratio
Negative Low Return on Equity
Negative Low Net Profit Margin
Negative Interest Coverage Ratio Needs Attention
Negative Employee Volume Fluctuations

Overall, Dayforce demonstrates strong business quality with high customer retention, substantial revenue growth, and a solid market position. Future prospects appear promising, driven by projected growth rates and ongoing innovations in AI and automation; however, employee volume fluctuations could pose challenges.

Analysis Date: February 5, 2025
Last Updated: March 11, 2025

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$1.43

Current Market Price: $51.48

IV/P Ratio: 0.03x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

-3502.0000000000005%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for DAY

No Positive earnings (5+ years)
No Dividend history (5+ years)
No P/E ratio ≤ 20 (450.32)
No P/B ratio ≤ 1.5 (3.20)
Yes Current ratio ≥ 2.0 (3.38x)
Yes Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.03x)
No Margin of safety (-3502.0000000000005%)
No DAY does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 0.7232116992478199

ROA: 0.11846001974333661

Gross Profit Margin: 47.67613636363636

Net Profit Margin: 1.0284090909090908

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Operating Profit Margin

6.51%
Operating Profit Margin

The operating profit margin of 6.51% indicates that the company is able to generate a reasonable level of profit from its operations.

Low Return on Equity

0.72%
Return on Equity

The return on equity (ROE) is only 0.72%, which is quite low and suggests that the company is not generating a strong return on shareholders' investments.

Low Net Profit Margin

1.03%
Net Profit Margin

The net profit margin of 1.03% is quite low, indicating that the company is retaining a minimal amount of profit after all expenses, which could be a concern for investors.

About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

0.72%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Return on Assets (ROA)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate profits

0.12%

3% 7%

Higher values indicate better asset utilization

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

47.68%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

1.03%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Strong Liquidity Ratios

3.38
Current Ratio
3.38
Quick Ratio

The current ratio of 3.38 and quick ratio of 3.38 suggest that the company has a strong ability to meet its short-term obligations without selling inventory.

Low Debt Levels

0.009
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
0.003
Debt-to-Assets Ratio

With a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.009 and debt-to-assets ratio of 0.003, the company is conservatively financed, indicating strong financial health and low risk from debt.

Interest Coverage Ratio Needs Attention

2.82
Interest Coverage Ratio

The interest coverage ratio of 2.82 indicates that while the company can cover its interest expenses, it's not excessively comfortable, which could be a concern if earnings fluctuate.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.01x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

3.38x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

Strong Revenue Growth

17%
Total Revenue Growth
21%
Recurring Revenue Growth (Excluding Float)

Dayforce reported total revenue of $1.76 billion for 2024, achieving a 17% growth on a constant currency basis. The recurring revenue excluding float grew 21%, indicating solid demand for its core services.

High Customer Retention and Satisfaction

98%
Gross Retention Rate

The gross retention rate improved to 98%, demonstrating strong customer satisfaction and loyalty. This is supported by the company’s ability to innovate and adapt its offerings to meet customer needs.

Product Innovation and Market Leadership

Leader in Cloud HCM Solutions
Gartner Recognition

Dayforce continues to lead in innovation with extensive compliance updates and recognition from Gartner as a leader in Cloud HCM solutions. This positions the company favorably against competitors.

No weaknesses identified.

Projected Revenue Growth

14% to 15%
Projected Total Revenue Growth (2025)
15% to 17%
Projected Recurring Revenue Growth (Excluding Float)

For 2025, Dayforce anticipates total revenue growth of 14% to 15%, with recurring revenue excluding float expected to grow between 15% and 17%. This reflects confidence in sustained demand.

Continued Investment in AI and Automation

60 units sold within a month
AI Product Sales (Copilot)

The company is focusing on further innovations in AI, with planned releases of AI agents and enhancements to existing products, which can drive future sales and operational efficiencies.

Expansion of Professional Services Margins

Expected to break even in 2025
Professional Services Margin Outlook

With expectations for professional services to break even in 2025, Dayforce is improving its operational efficiency through partnerships with system integrators, indicating a well-managed growth strategy.

Employee Volume Fluctuations

Lower than expected
Q4 Employee Volume Impact

Dayforce experienced lower-than-expected employee volumes in Q4, which slightly impacted recurring revenue. This variability raises concerns about the predictability of revenue streams.

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