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ECL
Ecolab Inc.
Summary
Earnings Call Analysis
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Positive Strong Return on Equity
Positive Healthy Gross Profit Margin
Positive Strong Interest Coverage
Positive πŸ† Record Performance
Positive πŸ”’ Strong Competitive Position
Positive πŸš€ Innovation and Investment Focus
Positive πŸ“ˆ Growth Targets and Confidence
Positive πŸ”Œ Digital Transformation Potential
Negative High Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Negative Moderate Net Profit Margin
Negative Moderate Debt Levels
Negative ⚠️ Challenges in International Markets
Negative πŸ”„ Currency Headwinds

Ecolab Inc. is demonstrating strong business quality with a solid competitive position and innovative growth strategies. The company's focus on digital transformation and targeted investments in high-growth markets supports favorable future prospects. However, challenges in international growth and currency headwinds may pose risks to achieving its full potential.

Analysis Date: February 11, 2025
Last Updated: March 12, 2025

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$285.48

Current Market Price: $236.73

IV/P Ratio: 1.21x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

17.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for ECL

No Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
No P/E ratio ≀ 20 (32.07)
No P/B ratio ≀ 1.5 (7.73)
No Current ratio β‰₯ 2.0 (1.26x)
No Long-term debt < Net current assets (6.10x)
Yes Margin of safety (17.0%)
No ECL does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 25.00022190596513

ROA: 2.1123111694762327

Gross Profit Margin: 43.489143278234465

Net Profit Margin: 13.419390905510312

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Healthy Gross Profit Margin

43.49%
Gross Profit Margin

ECL's gross profit margin of approximately 43.49% reflects strong pricing power and cost management, indicating a solid foundation for profitability.

Moderate Net Profit Margin

13.42%
Net Profit Margin

While ECL has a net profit margin of 13.42%, it may suggest room for improvement in controlling costs relative to revenue.

About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

25.00%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Return on Assets (ROA)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate profits

2.11%

3% 7%

Higher values indicate better asset utilization

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

43.49%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

13.42%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Strong Interest Coverage

8.78
Interest Coverage Ratio

ECL has an interest coverage ratio of 8.78, indicating that the company can easily meet its interest obligations, reflecting a strong financial position.

Moderate Debt Levels

0.93
Debt-to-Equity Ratio

With a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.93, ECL is moderately leveraged, indicating potential risks associated with higher debt levels in adverse conditions.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.93x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

1.26x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

πŸ† Record Performance

4% organic sales growth in Q4 2024
Record Sales Growth
16.8% for 2024
Organic Operating Income Margin

Ecolab Inc. reported record sales, earnings, margins, and free cash flow for 2024, indicating strong operational performance and effective management. The company's organic operating income margin increased by 290 basis points year-over-year, showcasing consistent margin improvement.

πŸ”’ Strong Competitive Position

92% of sales produced locally
Local Production Percentage

Ecolab's business model is characterized by high customer retention and loyalty, with 92% of sales produced locally, protecting it from external tariff impacts. The company also leverages proprietary technology, enhancing customer engagement and increasing stickiness of its services.

πŸš€ Innovation and Investment Focus

7% projected for 2025
CapEx to Sales Ratio

The company is investing significantly in its digital initiatives, particularly Ecolab Digital and its high-tech business targeting data centers and microelectronics, which are expected to drive future growth and margin expansion.

⚠️ Challenges in International Markets

Low single digits
International Sales Growth

While the U.S. market is performing strongly, international sales growth remains low single digits due to uneven macroeconomic trends, which may pose risks to overall revenue growth.

πŸ“ˆ Growth Targets and Confidence

12-15% for 2025
Earnings Growth Target

Ecolab is targeting 12 to 15% earnings growth for 2025, supported by solid organic sales growth and strong performance in its high-growth segments, including data centers and life sciences.

πŸ”Œ Digital Transformation Potential

2025
Digital Sales Reporting Start

The company plans to enhance transparency by reporting digital sales starting in 2025, which is expected to reveal high-growth opportunities and provide better visibility on its innovation trajectory.

πŸ”„ Currency Headwinds

3% unfavorable impact
Currency Translation Impact on Sales
4% unfavorable impact
Currency Translation Impact on EPS

Ecolab expects currency translation to negatively impact reported sales growth by approximately 3% and adjusted EPS growth by about 4%, which could hinder overall financial performance.

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