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ELV
Elevance Health Inc.
Summary
Earnings Call Analysis
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Positive Attractive Price-to-Sales Ratio
Positive Reasonable PE Ratio
Positive Strong Gross Profit Margin
Positive Decent Return on Equity
Positive Strong Liquidity Ratios
Positive Good Interest Coverage
Positive πŸ† Strong Member Engagement
Positive πŸ’‘ Value-Based Care Model
Positive πŸ“ˆ Solid Financial Performance
Positive πŸš€ Projected Membership Growth
Positive πŸ“Š Expansion of Carelon Services
Negative High Price-to-Cash-Flow Ratio
Negative Low Net Profit Margin
Negative Moderate Debt Levels
Negative Low Cash Ratio
Negative ⚠️ Elevated Medicaid Cost Trends
Negative πŸ”„ Regulatory Uncertainty
Negative πŸ“‰ Margin Pressures

Elevance Health exhibits strong business quality through innovative member engagement and a solid value-based care model. However, challenges remain in managing Medicaid cost trends and regulatory uncertainties. Future prospects appear positive with anticipated membership growth and expansion of Carelon services, albeit with potential margin pressures.

Analysis Date: January 23, 2025
Last Updated: March 12, 2025

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$749.20

Current Market Price: $428.65

IV/P Ratio: 1.75x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

43.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for ELV

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
Yes P/E ratio ≀ 20 (16.32)
No P/B ratio ≀ 1.5 (2.36)
Yes Current ratio β‰₯ 2.0 (2.01x)
No Long-term debt < Net current assets (1.11x)
Yes Margin of safety (43.0%)
No ELV does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 14.247508770675863

ROA: 0.35760422280967413

Gross Profit Margin: 46.79769243821051

Net Profit Margin: 3.382161642441038

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Strong Gross Profit Margin

0.468
Gross Profit Margin

The gross profit margin of 46.80% indicates strong pricing power and cost control, allowing the company to retain a significant portion of revenue as profit.

Decent Return on Equity

0.1425
Return on Equity

Return on Equity (ROE) of 14.25% reflects effective management in generating profits from shareholders' equity, suggesting efficient use of capital.

Low Net Profit Margin

0.0338
Net Profit Margin

The net profit margin of 3.38% indicates lower profitability after all expenses, which may limit the company's ability to generate returns in comparison to its revenue.

About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

14.25%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Return on Assets (ROA)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate profits

0.36%

3% 7%

Higher values indicate better asset utilization

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

46.80%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

3.38%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Strong Liquidity Ratios

1.4602
Current Ratio
1.4602
Quick Ratio

The current ratio of 1.46 and quick ratio of 1.46 indicate that the company has sufficient short-term assets to cover its liabilities, reflecting strong liquidity.

Good Interest Coverage

6.7021
Interest Coverage

An interest coverage ratio of 6.70 indicates that the company has ample earnings to cover its interest obligations, suggesting low financial risk.

Moderate Debt Levels

0.7559
Debt-to-Equity Ratio

The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.76 indicates that the company is moderately leveraged, which could pose risks if cash flows decline.

Low Cash Ratio

0.2053
Cash Ratio

The cash ratio of 0.21 suggests limited cash reserves relative to current liabilities, which could impact liquidity in times of financial stress.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.75x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

2.01x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

πŸ† Strong Member Engagement

1.5 million hours
Member Engagement Savings

Elevance Health demonstrated a commitment to member well-being with initiatives like the Sydney app, which saved members an estimated 1.5 million hours in 2024 by streamlining their healthcare journey.

πŸ’‘ Value-Based Care Model

β‰ˆ 66%
Percentage of Value-Based Care
35% (up from <20% in 3 years)
Downside Risk Care Providers

The company has shifted to value-based partnerships, accounting for nearly two-thirds of care today, which has resulted in better health outcomes and reduced inefficiencies.

πŸ“ˆ Solid Financial Performance

$3.84
Q4 Adjusted EPS
$33.04
Full Year Adjusted EPS

Reported fourth quarter adjusted diluted EPS of $3.84 and full year adjusted diluted EPS of $33.04, indicating strong financial discipline even amid elevated costs.

⚠️ Elevated Medicaid Cost Trends

Higher than typical
Medicaid Cost Trend

The Medicaid business continues to face elevated cost trends that are impacting margins, with rates currently insufficient to cover these trends.

πŸš€ Projected Membership Growth

7% to 9%
Projected MA Membership Growth

Elevance anticipates Medicare Advantage membership growth of 7% to 9% for 2025, supported by strong retention and group membership growth.

πŸ“Š Expansion of Carelon Services

>30%
Carelon Service Growth Rate

The acquisition of CareBridge and ongoing investment in Carelon are expected to drive significant revenue growth, with Carelon services anticipated to grow above long-term targets.

πŸ”„ Regulatory Uncertainty

Ongoing discussions regarding Medicare and Medicaid regulations could introduce volatility and impact future performance.

πŸ“‰ Margin Pressures

89.1% (approx. +60 bps)
Expected MLR Increase for 2025

The company is navigating pressures on margins due to a mix of business changes and expected elevated costs in Medicaid and Medicare.

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