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FTNT
Fortinet, Inc.
Summary
Earnings Call Analysis
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Positive Strong Market Demand
Positive High Profit Margins
Positive Strong Liquidity Position
Positive Low Debt Levels
Positive πŸ† Strong Competitive Position
Positive πŸ’‘ Innovation and Technology Leadership
Positive πŸ“ˆ Strong Financial Performance
Positive πŸš€ Growth Opportunities in SaaS
Positive πŸ”„ Refresh Cycle Potential
Positive 🌍 Expansion in Emerging Markets
Negative High Valuation Ratios
Negative Low Return on Equity
Negative Limited Cash Reserves
Negative ⚠️ Exposure to Economic Factors
Negative πŸ” Caution in Billings Guidance

Overall, Fortinet demonstrates strong business quality with competitive advantages and solid financial performance. Future growth prospects are promising, particularly in SaaS and new customer acquisitions, despite some economic uncertainties that may impact short-term billing growth.

Analysis Date: February 6, 2025
Last Updated: March 12, 2025

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$87.66

Current Market Price: $84.98

IV/P Ratio: 1.03x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

3.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for FTNT

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
No Dividend history (5+ years)
No P/E ratio ≀ 20 (37.21)
No P/B ratio ≀ 1.5 (43.47)
No Current ratio β‰₯ 2.0 (1.47x)
Yes Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.52x)
Yes Margin of safety (3.0%)
No FTNT does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 273.4780224085247

ROA: 5.3896815560631355

Gross Profit Margin: 80.56348433459821

Net Profit Margin: 29.302528627556327

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

High Profit Margins

29.30%
Net Profit Margin
30.24%
Operating Profit Margin

FTNT showcases strong profitability with a net profit margin of 29.30%, indicating effective cost management and a solid business model.

Low Return on Equity

2.73%
Return on Equity

The return on equity (ROE) is only 2.73%, which suggests that the company is not generating high returns on its shareholders' investments, raising concerns about management efficiency.

About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

273.48%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Return on Assets (ROA)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate profits

5.39%

3% 7%

Higher values indicate better asset utilization

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

80.56%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

29.30%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Strong Liquidity Position

1.47
Current Ratio
1.39
Quick Ratio

With a current ratio of 1.47 and a quick ratio of 1.39, FTNT shows strong liquidity, indicating that it can easily cover short-term liabilities.

Low Debt Levels

0.67
Debt to Equity
0.10
Debt to Assets

The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.67 and debt-to-assets ratio of 0.10 reflect a conservative capital structure, suggesting low financial risk.

Limited Cash Reserves

0.71
Cash Ratio

The cash ratio of 0.71 indicates that while FTNT has some liquidity, it may not have sufficient cash reserves to cover all short-term obligations without liquidating other assets.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.67x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

1.47x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

πŸ† Strong Competitive Position

Over 50% of global firewalls
Market Share
Record 39.2%
Operating Margin

Fortinet holds a leading position in the secure networking market, securing over half of all global firewalls. The company is recognized for its unique single operating system approach, which integrates various security functions, giving it a competitive edge over others.

πŸ’‘ Innovation and Technology Leadership

11% of total billings
AI-Powered Revenue Contribution
130% growth in SaaS solutions
Unified SaaS Growth

The introduction of AI-driven security and the acquisition of companies like Perception Point showcases Fortinet's commitment to innovation. Its proprietary ASIC technology enhances performance and efficiency, providing significant advantages in security operations.

πŸ“ˆ Strong Financial Performance

17%
Total Revenue Growth
18%
Product Revenue Growth

Fortinet reported a total revenue growth of 17% and product revenue growth of 18%, the highest in six quarters. This reflects robust demand for its security solutions, particularly in unified SaaS and SecOps.

⚠️ Exposure to Economic Factors

Expected growth of only 11% for Q1 2025
Billing Guidance

The company acknowledged potential impacts from tariffs and a challenging macroeconomic environment, particularly affecting its multinational operations and customer demand.

πŸš€ Growth Opportunities in SaaS

96%
SSE ARR Growth
23% of total business
Unified SaaS Contribution

Fortinet's unified SaaS solutions are gaining traction, with a 96% growth in ARR for Security Service Edge (SSE). The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for integrated security solutions.

πŸ”„ Refresh Cycle Potential

$450 million
Potential Upgrade Opportunity
10% for SASE
Large Enterprise Penetration Rate

The upcoming end-of-life refresh cycle presents a significant upsell opportunity for Fortinet, especially among large enterprises currently using legacy systems. This is expected to drive substantial revenue growth.

🌍 Expansion in Emerging Markets

Over 25%
EMEA Growth Rate
6,900 in Q4
New Logos Added

Fortinet's performance in emerging markets, particularly in EMEA, shows strong potential for growth, driven by increasing demand for security solutions. The company is also leveraging its strong channel partnerships to penetrate these markets.

πŸ” Caution in Billings Guidance

12% for full year 2025
Expected Billings Growth

The guidance for billings growth appears cautious, reflecting potential uncertainties in economic conditions and tariff impacts, which may hinder more aggressive growth targets.

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