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GWW
W.W. Grainger, Inc.
Summary
Earnings Call Analysis
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Positive Reasonable Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Positive Strong Price-to-Sales Ratio
Positive High Return on Equity
Positive Solid Gross Profit Margin
Positive Strong Current Ratio
Positive Low Debt Levels
Positive πŸ† Strong Customer Focus
Positive πŸ“ˆ Robust Growth in Segments
Positive πŸ’‘ Data and Technology Investment
Positive πŸš€ Growth Engines in Place
Positive πŸ”„ Focus on Innovation
Negative High Price-to-Cash Flow Ratio
Negative Elevated Price-to-Book Ratio
Negative Moderate Net Profit Margin
Negative Operating Profit Margin Concerns
Negative Low Cash Ratio
Negative Interest Coverage Ratio
Negative ⚠️ Market Dependency
Negative πŸ“‰ Cautious Market Outlook

Grainger exhibits strong business quality through its customer-centric focus and significant technological investments. However, its dependency on market conditions poses risks. Future prospects are bolstered by innovation and growth strategies, though a cautious outlook suggests challenges ahead.

Analysis Date: January 31, 2025
Last Updated: March 12, 2025

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$1512.27

Current Market Price: $928.03

IV/P Ratio: 1.63x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

39.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for GWW

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
No P/E ratio ≀ 20 (23.99)
No P/B ratio ≀ 1.5 (5.19)
Yes Current ratio β‰₯ 2.0 (2.49x)
Yes Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.76x)
Yes Margin of safety (39.0%)
No GWW does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 40.5997447894513

ROA: 5.379997734737795

Gross Profit Margin: 39.363932898415655

Net Profit Margin: 11.119524697110904

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

High Return on Equity

40.6
Return on Equity

A return on equity of 40.60% indicates strong profitability relative to shareholders' equity, showcasing effective use of capital.

Solid Gross Profit Margin

39.36
Gross Profit Margin

The gross profit margin of 39.36% reflects a strong capability to maintain profitability at the core operational level.

Moderate Net Profit Margin

11.12
Net Profit Margin

The net profit margin of 11.12% suggests that while the company is profitable, there may be room for improvement in controlling expenses relative to revenue.

Operating Profit Margin Concerns

15.36
Operating Profit Margin

An operating profit margin of 15.36% indicates potential inefficiencies in operating expenses that could be addressed to enhance profitability.

About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

40.60%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Return on Assets (ROA)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate profits

5.38%

3% 7%

Higher values indicate better asset utilization

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

39.36%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

11.12%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Strong Current Ratio

2.49
Current Ratio

A current ratio of 2.49 indicates excellent short-term liquidity, suggesting the company can cover its short-term liabilities comfortably.

Low Debt Levels

0.3
Debt-to-Equity Ratio

With a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.30, the company maintains a conservative leverage profile, reducing financial risk.

Low Cash Ratio

0.45
Cash Ratio

The cash ratio of 0.45 indicates that while liquidity is generally strong, there is limited cash on hand relative to current liabilities, which could be a concern in a liquidity crunch.

Interest Coverage Ratio

34.25
Interest Coverage Ratio

While the interest coverage ratio of 34.25 is strong, it’s essential to monitor the sustainability of this coverage in the context of rising interest rates.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.30x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

2.49x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

πŸ† Strong Customer Focus

15.5%
Operating Margin
39.6%
Gross Margin

Grainger emphasizes exceptional customer service and experience as a core element of its business strategy. The company aims to meet two fundamental customer needs: seamless purchasing and delivering tangible value, which enhances customer loyalty.

πŸ“ˆ Robust Growth in Segments

11.6%
Endless Assortment Sales Growth
100 basis points
High-Touch Solutions Market Outgrowth

The company reported solid growth across its High-Touch Solutions and Endless Assortment segments, with the Endless Assortment segment achieving daily constant currency sales growth of 11.6%. This indicates a strong market position and effective strategies to capture demand.

πŸ’‘ Data and Technology Investment

41.6%
Return on Invested Capital

Grainger has made significant investments in technology and data analytics, building proprietary systems that enhance operational efficiency and customer insights. This positions the company to leverage digital capabilities effectively.

⚠️ Market Dependency

Flat to Down 1.5%
Market Volume Growth Projection

The company is heavily dependent on the overall MRO market conditions, which are currently projected to remain sluggish. This dependency could limit growth if external market factors do not improve.

πŸš€ Growth Engines in Place

4% to 6.5%
Projected Daily Sales Growth (2025)

Grainger's strategic growth engines, including the expansion of its supply chain and the introduction of new technologies such as AI and machine learning, position the company for future growth. The focus on continuous improvement in operational processes and customer solutions supports sustainable growth.

πŸ”„ Focus on Innovation

Customer Service, Inventory Management
AI Implementation Areas

The integration of AI and advanced technologies into Grainger's operations demonstrates the company's commitment to innovation. Initiatives like using generative AI in customer service and machine learning for inventory management showcase the potential for efficiency gains and enhanced customer experiences.

πŸ“‰ Cautious Market Outlook

400 to 500 basis points (low end)
Expected Annual Outgrowth

Grainger's guidance for 2025 suggests a cautious approach, expecting sales growth at the low end of previous targets. This indicates potential challenges in achieving higher growth amidst a sluggish demand environment.

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