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HOLX
Hologic, Inc.
Summary
Earnings Call Analysis
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Positive Reasonable PE Ratio
Positive Low EV/EBITDA Ratio
Positive Strong Gross Profit Margin
Positive Healthy Net Profit Margin
Positive Extremely Low Debt Levels
Positive Strong Liquidity Ratios
Positive πŸ† Strong Financial Foundation
Positive πŸ”¬ Market Leadership in Diagnostics
Positive πŸ“ˆ Effective Capital Deployment Strategy
Positive πŸš€ Growth Through Innovation
Positive 🌍 International Expansion Potential
Negative High Price-to-Sales Ratio
Negative Moderate Operating Profit Margin
Negative πŸ“‰ Breast Health Market Challenges
Negative 🌧️ Economic and Policy Uncertainties

Hologic demonstrates a strong business model with significant competitive advantages in diagnostics and a solid financial foundation. However, challenges in the Breast Health segment and external economic uncertainties pose risks to growth. Future prospects remain positive due to innovation and international expansion.

Analysis Date: February 5, 2025
Last Updated: March 12, 2025

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$40.38

Current Market Price: $59.30

IV/P Ratio: 0.68x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

-47.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for HOLX

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
No Dividend history (5+ years)
Yes P/E ratio ≀ 20 (18.84)
No P/B ratio ≀ 1.5 (2.94)
Yes Current ratio β‰₯ 2.0 (3.49x)
Yes Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.01x)
No Margin of safety (-47.0%)
No HOLX does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 15.107672626481069

ROA: 2.3027484046879834

Gross Profit Margin: 56.176186585456435

Net Profit Margin: 18.42085716407933

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Strong Gross Profit Margin

56.18
Gross Profit Margin

The gross profit margin of 56.18% indicates that the company is effective in managing its production costs relative to its revenues.

Healthy Net Profit Margin

18.42
Net Profit Margin

A net profit margin of 18.42% reflects strong overall profitability, suggesting that the company retains a significant portion of its revenue as profit.

Moderate Operating Profit Margin

23.94
Operating Profit Margin

The operating profit margin of 23.94% is decent but could be improved, indicating that operational efficiency may be an area for enhancement.

About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

15.11%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Return on Assets (ROA)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate profits

2.30%

3% 7%

Higher values indicate better asset utilization

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

56.18%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

18.42%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Extremely Low Debt Levels

0.01
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
0.005
Debt-to-Assets Ratio

With a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01 and a debt-to-assets ratio of 0.005, HOLX shows outstanding financial health with negligible debt, reducing financial risk.

Strong Liquidity Ratios

3.49
Current Ratio
2.78
Quick Ratio

The current ratio of 3.49 and quick ratio of 2.78 indicate that the company has more than enough short-term assets to cover its liabilities, showcasing solid liquidity.

No financial health weaknesses identified.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.01x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q1 2025

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

3.49x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q1 2025

πŸ† Strong Financial Foundation

4.8% CAGR
Revenue Growth (2014-2024)
10.8% CAGR
EPS Growth (2014-2024)

Hologic has demonstrated significant financial resilience, with total revenue growing from approximately $2.5 billion in 2014 to over $4 billion in 2024, achieving a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.8%. Non-GAAP earnings per share increased from $1.46 to $4.08 during the same period, representing a CAGR of 10.8%. This indicates strong operational efficiency and profitability.

πŸ”¬ Market Leadership in Diagnostics

20+
Assays on Panther Platform

Hologic holds a strong competitive position in the diagnostics market, particularly with its Panther and Panther Fusion platforms, which have over 20 assays. The company benefits from a reliable cash flow generated by its market-leading products and has expanded its offerings, indicating a robust product strategy.

πŸ“ˆ Effective Capital Deployment Strategy

$189 million
Q1 Operating Cash Flow
$2 billion
Cash and Investments

The company has a disciplined approach to capital deployment, evidenced by share buybacks and strategic acquisitions such as Gynesonics, which are expected to enhance revenue growth. The strong cash flow of $189 million in Q1 and $2 billion in cash and investments further supports this strategy.

πŸ“‰ Breast Health Market Challenges

-2.1%
Breast Health Revenue Decline

The Breast Health segment reported disappointing revenue, declining by 2.1% due to lower capital equipment sales and market conditions. The company acknowledged that 2025 will be a softer year for gantry placements, indicating potential volatility in this segment.

πŸš€ Growth Through Innovation

Envision platform in 2026
Upcoming Product Launch

Hologic is poised for future growth through continued innovation and product development. The upcoming launch of the Envision platform and expansion of the Panther Fusion menu are expected to drive future revenue growth and enhance market share.

🌍 International Expansion Potential

20%
International Surgical Growth

The company has strengthened its capabilities to grow internationally and is focused on direct market entry in more geographies. This global expansion is expected to contribute positively to future revenue growth.

🌧️ Economic and Policy Uncertainties

$30 million
Expected Revenue Impact from Policy Changes

Hologic faces potential headwinds from economic factors such as a stronger US dollar and policy changes from the new US administration that could disrupt revenue, particularly in international markets and HIV testing.

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