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JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
Summary
Earnings Call Analysis
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Positive Attractive PE Ratio
Positive Moderate Price to Sales Ratio
Positive Strong Return on Equity
Positive High Net Profit Margin
Positive Strong Liquidity Ratios
Positive Low Debt to Assets Ratio
Positive πŸ’ͺ Strong Financial Performance
Positive πŸ† Market Leadership
Positive 🌐 Diversified Business Model
Positive πŸš€ Growth in Digital Banking
Positive πŸ“ˆ Optimistic Investment Banking Outlook
Negative Negative Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio
Negative Low Gross Profit Margin
Negative High Debt to Equity Ratio
Negative Negative Free Cash Flow per Share
Negative πŸ“‰ Margin Compression
Negative ⚠️ Credit Cost Concerns
Negative πŸ”„ Uncertainty in NII Outlook
Negative πŸ’Ό Dependence on Economic Recovery

Overall, JPMorgan Chase demonstrates a strong business quality with robust financial performance and market leadership. However, challenges such as margin compression and increasing credit costs pose risks. Future prospects indicate growth potential in digital banking and investment banking, but uncertainties regarding NII and economic recovery could impact overall performance.

Analysis Date: January 15, 2025
Last Updated: March 12, 2025

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$793.52

Current Market Price: $207.26

IV/P Ratio: 3.83x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

74.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for JPM

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
Yes P/E ratio ≀ 20 (10.20)
No P/B ratio ≀ 1.5 (1.73)
Yes Current ratio β‰₯ 2.0 (33.35x)
Yes Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.23x)
Yes Margin of safety (74.0%)
No JPM does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 17.270784902854547

ROA: 0.34987886022183395

Gross Profit Margin: 100.0

Net Profit Margin: 32.96183550369243

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Strong Return on Equity

17.1
Return on Equity

JPM demonstrates a solid Return on Equity (ROE) of 17.10%, reflecting effective management in generating profits from shareholders' equity.

High Net Profit Margin

32.96
Net Profit Margin

The Net Profit Margin of 32.96% indicates that JPM retains a significant portion of revenue as profit, showing good operational efficiency.

Low Gross Profit Margin

100.0
Gross Profit Margin

A Gross Profit Margin of 100% suggests high revenue but also raises concerns about the sustainability of this figure, as it may not accurately reflect operational efficiency.

About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

17.27%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Return on Assets (ROA)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate profits

0.35%

3% 7%

Higher values indicate better asset utilization

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

100.00%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

32.96%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Strong Liquidity Ratios

6.02
Current Ratio
6.02
Quick Ratio

JPM's Current Ratio of 6.02 and Quick Ratio of 6.02 indicate excellent liquidity, showing that the company can easily cover its short-term obligations.

Low Debt to Assets Ratio

11.35
Debt to Assets

A Debt to Assets ratio of 11.35% shows that JPM is not overly leveraged, indicating a solid financial foundation with manageable debt levels.

High Debt to Equity Ratio

1.32
Debt to Equity Ratio

The Debt to Equity Ratio of 1.32 suggests that JPM has a relatively high level of debt compared to its equity, which could pose risks in a downturn.

Negative Free Cash Flow per Share

-20.45
Free Cash Flow per Share

With Free Cash Flow per Share at -20.45, JPM is currently not generating positive free cash flow, which can affect its ability to invest and return value to shareholders.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

1.32x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

33.35x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

πŸ’ͺ Strong Financial Performance

$14 billion
Q4 Net Income
$4.81
EPS
20%
Full Year ROTCE

JPMorgan Chase reported a net income of $14 billion for Q4 2024, with EPS of $4.81, showcasing robust profitability. The full year net income was $54 billion with an ROTCE of 20%, reflecting effective capital utilization.

πŸ† Market Leadership

9.3%
Wallet Share
41% YoY
Advisory Fees Growth

The Investment Bank achieved record revenues in markets and advisory fees, ranking first with a wallet share of 9.3%. This demonstrates a strong competitive position and market leadership.

🌐 Diversified Business Model

1% YoY
CCB Revenue Growth
$234 billion
AWM Long-term Net Inflows

JPMorgan Chase has a diversified business model with growth across Consumer & Community Banking (CCB), Commercial & Investment Bank (CIB), and Asset & Wealth Management (AWM), reducing dependence on any single revenue source.

πŸ“‰ Margin Compression

$548 million
NII ex-Markets Decline

Net Interest Income (NII) ex-markets decreased by $548 million or 2% due to lower rates and deposit margin compression, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability amid changing interest rates.

⚠️ Credit Cost Concerns

$2.6 billion
Credit Costs
$2.1 billion
Net Charge-Offs

Credit costs increased to $2.6 billion, largely driven by net charge-offs, which raises questions about future credit quality and potential risks in the lending portfolio.

πŸš€ Growth in Digital Banking

10 million
New Card Accounts

The firm is successfully acquiring new clients in the digital banking space, with nearly 10 million new card accounts, indicating strong growth potential in the consumer market.

πŸ“ˆ Optimistic Investment Banking Outlook

49% YoY
Investment Banking Fees Growth

The Investment Banking segment sees a positive momentum with an optimistic outlook for the pipeline, driven by increased advisory and underwriting fees, which may lead to future revenue growth.

πŸ”„ Uncertainty in NII Outlook

$90 billion
Projected NII in 2025

The expected decline in NII due to anticipated interest rate cuts in 2025 poses risks to revenue stability, highlighting future challenges in maintaining profitability.

πŸ’Ό Dependence on Economic Recovery

Uncertain
Loan Growth Outlook

Future loan growth remains uncertain and dependent on broader economic recovery, particularly in segments like acquisition finance, indicating vulnerability to macroeconomic conditions.

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