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KEY
KeyCorp
Summary
Earnings Call Analysis
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Positive High Dividend Yield
Positive Decent Operating Profit Margin
Positive Strong Liquidity Ratios
Positive Low Debt to Assets
Positive πŸ’ͺ Strong Revenue Momentum
Positive 🏦 Robust Credit Performance
Positive πŸ“ˆ Investment Banking Strength
Positive πŸš€ Growth in Wealth Management
Positive πŸ“Š Optimistic Loan Growth Outlook
Positive πŸ’» Technological Advancements
Negative Extremely High P/E Ratio
Negative High EV/EBITDA Ratio
Negative Low Return on Equity
Negative Low Net Profit Margin
Negative High Debt to Equity Ratio
Negative Very Low Interest Coverage
Negative ⚠️ Soft Loan Demand

KeyCorp displays strong business quality with solid revenue growth, robust credit performance, and strength in investment banking. Future prospects are promising due to growth in wealth management, optimism for loan growth, and significant technology investments, although soft loan demand poses a challenge.

Analysis Date: January 21, 2025
Last Updated: March 12, 2025

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$1.05

Current Market Price: $14.96

IV/P Ratio: 0.07x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

-1327.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for KEY

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
No P/E ratio ≀ 20 (160.69)
No P/B ratio ≀ 1.5 (13.36)
Yes Current ratio β‰₯ 2.0 (18.52x)
Yes Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.32x)
No Margin of safety (-1327.0%)
No KEY does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 0.7012695250407986

ROA: -0.00016471847847188316

Gross Profit Margin: 120.04703115814226

Net Profit Margin: 1.2157554379776603

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Decent Operating Profit Margin

0.0947
Operating Profit Margin

An operating profit margin of 9.46% indicates that the company has some operational efficiency.

Low Return on Equity

0.0070
Return on Equity

A return on equity of 0.70% indicates that the company is not efficiently generating profits from shareholders' equity.

Low Net Profit Margin

0.0122
Net Profit Margin

The net profit margin of 1.22% is considerably low, suggesting that the company retains very little profit out of its revenues.

About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

0.70%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Return on Assets (ROA)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate profits

0.00%

3% 7%

Higher values indicate better asset utilization

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

120.05%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

1.22%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Strong Liquidity Ratios

18.52
Current Ratio
18.52
Quick Ratio

The current ratio and quick ratio both stand at 18.52, indicating exceptional short-term liquidity and ability to cover liabilities.

Low Debt to Assets

0.0837
Debt to Assets

A debt to assets ratio of 8.37% indicates a conservative approach to leveraging, which is a positive sign for financial stability.

High Debt to Equity Ratio

14.31
Debt to Equity

The debt to equity ratio of 14.31 suggests that the company may be taking on excessive debt relative to its equity base.

Very Low Interest Coverage

0.14
Interest Coverage

An interest coverage ratio of 0.14 indicates that the company is struggling to cover its interest expenses, which can be a red flag.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

14.31x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

18.52x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

πŸ’ͺ Strong Revenue Momentum

11%
Sequential Revenue Growth
16%
Year-over-Year Revenue Growth

KeyCorp reported an 11% sequential increase in revenue and a 16% year-over-year increase, showcasing strong performance in net interest income and adjusted fees. This indicates a solid revenue-generating capability.

🏦 Robust Credit Performance

$500 million
Decrease in Criticized Loans
$40 million
Decrease in Net Charge-Offs

The company reported improvements in credit metrics, with criticized loans down by $500 million and net charge-offs decreasing by $40 million sequentially. This reflects a healthy credit environment.

πŸ“ˆ Investment Banking Strength

$221 million
Q4 Investment Banking Fees
Second Strongest
Full Year Investment Banking Fees Rank

KeyCorp's investment banking fees reached $221 million for the fourth quarter, marking the second strongest year in their history. This indicates a strong market position and capability in investment banking.

No weaknesses identified.

πŸš€ Growth in Wealth Management

$61.4 billion
Assets Under Management
60
New Wealth Professionals Planned

KeyCorp's assets under management reached a record of approximately $61.4 billion, with a focus on adding wealth professionals and expanding their wealth management capabilities.

πŸ“Š Optimistic Loan Growth Outlook

Nearly double year-ago levels
Pipeline Growth

Despite current challenges, management expressed confidence in commercial loan growth, supported by a robust pipeline and improving economic conditions.

πŸ’» Technological Advancements

10%
Increase in Tech Spending
$900 million
2025 Tech Budget

KeyCorp is investing in technology with plans to increase tech spending by 10% in 2025, enhancing digital tools and platforms to improve customer experience.

⚠️ Soft Loan Demand

2% to 5%
Projected Average Loan Decline

Loan demand remained soft throughout the year, with expectations for average loans to decline by 2% to 5% in 2025, indicating potential headwinds for growth.

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