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LMT
Lockheed Martin Corporation
Summary
Earnings Call Analysis
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Positive Reasonable Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Positive Attractive Price-to-Sales Ratio
Positive Strong Return on Equity
Positive Healthy Operating and Net Profit Margins
Positive Low Debt Levels
Positive Strong Interest Coverage
Positive πŸ“ˆ Strong Growth Trajectory
Positive πŸ’° Robust Free Cash Flow
Positive 🎯 Competitive Positioning
Positive πŸš€ Promising 2025 Outlook
Positive πŸ” Focus on Innovation and Partnerships
Negative High Price-to-Book Ratio
Negative Elevated EV/EBITDA Ratio
Negative Low Gross Profit Margin
Negative Low Current and Cash Ratios
Negative ⚠️ Impact of Classified Program Charges
Negative πŸ“‰ Potential Risks from Defense Budget Changes

Lockheed Martin demonstrates strong business quality through solid financial performance and competitive positioning. However, risks associated with classified programs and potential shifts in defense budgets could impact future growth. The outlook for 2025 remains positive with expected sales growth and a focus on innovation.

Analysis Date: January 28, 2025
Last Updated: March 12, 2025

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$282.63

Current Market Price: $431.03

IV/P Ratio: 0.66x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

-53.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for LMT

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
Yes P/E ratio ≀ 20 (19.11)
No P/B ratio ≀ 1.5 (16.10)
No Current ratio β‰₯ 2.0 (1.13x)
No Long-term debt < Net current assets (8.08x)
No Margin of safety (-53.0%)
No LMT does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 80.97731239092496

ROA: 0.9475520074797273

Gross Profit Margin: 9.877116675816055

Net Profit Margin: 7.510944076122912

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Strong Return on Equity

80.98
Return on Equity

LMT's return on equity of 80.98% indicates strong profitability and effective management of shareholder equity.

Healthy Operating and Net Profit Margins

9.92
Operating Profit Margin
7.51
Net Profit Margin

With operating profit margin at 9.92% and net profit margin at 7.51%, LMT demonstrates effective cost control and profitability.

Low Gross Profit Margin

9.88
Gross Profit Margin

A gross profit margin of 9.88% suggests that LMT may have high costs relative to its sales, which could impact overall profitability.

About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

80.98%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Return on Assets (ROA)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate profits

0.95%

3% 7%

Higher values indicate better asset utilization

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

9.88%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

7.51%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Low Debt Levels

0.1
Debt-to-Equity Ratio

A debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10 indicates that LMT has low leverage, reducing financial risk.

Strong Interest Coverage

6.8
Interest Coverage Ratio

An interest coverage ratio of 6.80 suggests that LMT can comfortably meet its interest obligations, indicating good financial health.

Low Current and Cash Ratios

1.13
Current Ratio
0.13
Cash Ratio

The current ratio of 1.13 and cash ratio of 0.13 indicate potential liquidity concerns, as the company may have limited short-term assets to cover liabilities.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

3.20x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

1.13x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

πŸ“ˆ Strong Growth Trajectory

5%
Sales Growth (2024)
$176 billion
Record Backlog

Lockheed Martin's return to growth strategy has led to a 5% increase in sales year-over-year for 2024, alongside a record backlog of $176 billion. This growth is indicative of strong demand for their products across all business areas, with a book-to-bill ratio greater than 1.

πŸ’° Robust Free Cash Flow

$5.3 billion
Free Cash Flow (2024)
$3.7 billion
Share Repurchases (2024)

The company generated $5.3 billion in free cash flow in 2024, exceeding 100% of that being returned to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. This reflects strong financial health and commitment to shareholder value.

🎯 Competitive Positioning

$3.3 billion
R&D Investment (2024)

Lockheed Martin has a competitive edge due to its extensive experience in defense contracting and its ability to integrate advanced technologies across various domains. They are investing heavily in R&D ($3.3 billion in 2024) to maintain this edge.

⚠️ Impact of Classified Program Charges

$1.8 billion
Total Charges (Q4 2024)

The company recorded significant charges ($1.8 billion) related to classified programs which adversely affected segment operating profits. This raises concerns about the management and execution of such high-stakes contracts.

πŸš€ Promising 2025 Outlook

4%-5%
Expected Sales Growth (2025)
11%
Projected Operating Margin (2025)

Lockheed Martin expects sales growth of 4% to 5% in 2025 with operating margins returning to 11%. The growth is supported by a strong demand for munitions and integrated air defense systems.

πŸ” Focus on Innovation and Partnerships

Nvidia, Microsoft, IBM
Key Partnerships

The company is actively pursuing partnerships with leading tech firms (e.g., Nvidia, Microsoft) to enhance its capabilities in AI and advanced technologies, indicating a strong commitment to innovation.

πŸ“‰ Potential Risks from Defense Budget Changes

With a new administration, there may be shifts in defense budget priorities that could impact production rates and funding for key projects such as the F-35, potentially leading to revenue volatility.

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