10Y annualized return is
very good
at 12.0% per year
MS has met or exceeded earnings expectations in
most
recent quarters (9/10)
Reasonable Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Attractive Price-to-Book Ratio
Strong Operating and Net Profit Margins
Good Return on Equity
No Debt on Balance Sheet
π¦ Strong Financial Performance
π Integrated Firm Strategy
π Strong Market Position
π Growth Opportunities in Wealth Management
π Diverse Investment Management Strategy
π Expected Recovery in Investment Banking
Negative Price-to-Cash-Flow Ratio
High EV to EBITDA Ratio
Negative Free Cash Flow
Liquidity Ratios Indicate Weakness
β οΈ Geopolitical Risks
π Dependency on Market Conditions
Morgan Stanley demonstrates strong overall business quality with a robust financial performance and a well-defined integrated strategy that positions it favorably in the market. However, geopolitical and market risks pose challenges. Future growth prospects appear bright, driven by strong wealth management and investment banking pipelines, yet they remain dependent on market conditions.
Analysis Date: January 16, 2025 Last Updated: March 12, 2025
+211%
+12.0% per year
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.
CountryUS
ExchangeNYSE
IndustryFinancial - Capital Markets
SectorFinancial Services
Market Cap$207.24B
CEOMr. Edward N. Pick
Morgan Stanley is a big financial company that helps people and organizations manage their money. They offer services like investment advice, helping businesses raise money, and planning for retirement. They work with individuals, small businesses, and large corporations around the world, guiding them on how to invest their money wisely and achieve their financial goals. Founded in 1924 and based in New York, Morgan Stanley is known for its expertise in finance.
Streams of revenue
Wealth Management Segment:47%
Institutional Securities Segment:44%
Investment Management Segment:9%
Geographic Distribution
Americas:75%
Asia:13%
EMEA:12%
Core Products
π
ResearchMarket analysis
π
Sales & TradingMarket transactions
π
Asset ManagementPortfolio services
πΌ
Wealth ManagementInvestment advice
π¦
Investment BankingCapital raising
Business Type
Business to Business
Competitive Advantages
π
Global PresenceWith operations in multiple regions, Morgan Stanley is well-positioned to capitalize on global market opportunities and mitigate risks associated with local economic downturns.
π¦
Strong Brand ReputationMorgan Stanley has a long-standing reputation for trust and reliability in the financial services industry, attracting high-net-worth clients and institutional investors.
π
Diverse Service OfferingsThe company provides a wide range of financial products and services, allowing it to cater to various client needs and reduce dependency on any single revenue source.
π
Expertise in Wealth ManagementMorgan Stanley's strong capabilities in wealth management attract affluent individuals and institutions, enabling personalized financial strategies and fostering long-term client relationships.
π»
Robust Technology InfrastructureInvestment in advanced technology enhances trading efficiency, risk management, and client engagement, providing a competitive edge in the fast-evolving financial landscape.
Key Business Risks
π³
Credit RiskPotential defaults by borrowers may lead to significant financial losses in lending and investment portfolios.
βοΈ
Operational RiskFailures in internal processes, systems, or external events can disrupt operations and impact service delivery.
β οΈ
Market VolatilityFluctuations in financial markets can adversely affect profitability and client investment strategies.
π
Cybersecurity ThreatsIncreased risk of cyberattacks can compromise sensitive data and lead to financial and reputational damage.
π
Regulatory ComplianceChanges in regulations affecting financial services can lead to increased costs and operational challenges.
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Graham Value Metrics
Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.
Intrinsic Value
Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula
$217.02
Current Market Price: $96.24
IV/P Ratio: 2.25x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)
Margin of Safety
Gap between intrinsic value and market price
56.00000000000001%
Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety
Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value
Graham Criteria Checklist
Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for MS
Positive earnings (5+ years)
Dividend history (5+ years)
P/E ratio β€ 20 (12.47)
P/B ratio β€ 1.5 (1.60)
Current ratio β₯ 2.0 (0.66x)
Long-term debt < Net current assets (-1.15x)
Margin of safety (56.00000000000001%)
MS does not meet all Graham criteria
ROE: 13.125199107996178
ROA: None
Gross Profit Margin: 86.66722802290333
Net Profit Margin: 22.549680026945097
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Profitability & Past Results
Strengths
Strong Operating and Net Profit Margins
46.94
Operating Profit Margin
22.55
Net Profit Margin
With an operating profit margin of 46.94% and a net profit margin of 22.55%, the company demonstrates strong profitability relative to its revenues.
Good Return on Equity
13.12
Return on Equity
The return on equity of 13.12% indicates that the company is effectively using equity investments to generate profits.
Weaknesses
Negative Free Cash Flow
-4.62
Free Cash Flow Per Share
The free cash flow per share is -4.62, indicating that the company is currently burning cash rather than generating it, which is a significant concern for sustainability.
About Profitability Metrics
Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.
Return on Equity (ROE)
Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits
13.13%
10%15%
Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders
TTM (as of 2025-04-25)
Gross Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold
86.67%
20%40%
Higher values indicate better efficiency in production
TTM (as of 2025-04-25)
Net Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses
With a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0, the company is not leveraging debt, which is a strong indicator of financial stability.
Weaknesses
Liquidity Ratios Indicate Weakness
0.0
Current Ratio
0.0
Quick Ratio
0.0
Cash Ratio
The current ratio, quick ratio, and cash ratio are all at 0.0, suggesting a lack of liquidity and potential difficulties in meeting short-term obligations.
About Financial Health Metrics
Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.
Debt to Equity Ratio
Total debt divided by total equity
3.42x
1.0x2.0x
Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk
Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk
Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good
Q4 2024
Historical Earnings Results
Meeting Expectations
9/10
Higher values indicate better execution and credibility
Recent Results
2025-04-11
+17.6%
2025-01-16
+37.0%
2024-10-16
+19.0%
2024-07-16
+10.3%
2024-04-16
+21.7%
2024-01-16
-2.0%
2023-10-18
+7.8%
2023-07-18
+7.8%
2023-04-19
+4.9%
2023-01-17
+5.9%
Earnings call from January 16, 2025
EPS
2.21
Estimated
2.60
Actual
+17.65%
Difference
Strengths
π¦ Strong Financial Performance
$61.8 billion
Total Revenue 2024
$2.22
EPS Q4 2024
Morgan Stanley reported record revenues and earnings per share, with a total revenue of $61.8 billion for 2024 and a fourth quarter EPS of $2.22. This indicates strong financial health and effective cost management strategies.
π Integrated Firm Strategy
$28.4 billion
Wealth Management Revenue 2024
$28.1 billion
Institutional Securities Revenue 2024
Morgan Stanley's integrated firm strategy emphasizes the synergy between wealth management and institutional securities, which enhances client services and drives revenue growth. The firm aims to deliver holistic financial solutions, demonstrating a commitment to client-centric services.
π Strong Market Position
$7.9 trillion
Client Assets
19%
Return on Tangible Equity
The firm has consistently gained market share, with a wallet share increase of nearly 100 basis points in institutional securities. This highlights Morgan Stanley's competitive advantage and its ability to capture client share in a growing market.
Weaknesses
β οΈ Geopolitical Risks
Morgan Stanley faces significant geopolitical uncertainties that could impact its global operations and market performance. These risks could affect client confidence and investment decisions.
Opportunities
π Growth Opportunities in Wealth Management
$250 billion
Net New Assets 2024
$10 trillion
Target Total Client Assets
Morgan Stanley's wealth management segment is on track for significant growth, with net new assets of $250 billion in 2024 and a target of reaching $10 trillion in total client assets. The firm's focus on advisor-led channels and expanding relationships indicates strong future growth potential.
π Diverse Investment Management Strategy
$575 billion
Parametric Platform AUM
The firm is investing heavily in secular growth areas like alternatives and customized portfolios, which are expected to enhance revenue streams and diversify risk. Their parametric platform has grown to $575 billion, showcasing innovation in investment management.
π Expected Recovery in Investment Banking
Strongest in 5-10 years
M&A Pipeline Status
With a healthy M&A pipeline and improving market conditions, Morgan Stanley is well-positioned for a rebound in investment banking activities. The firm anticipates increased deal-making activity, which could significantly boost revenues in 2025.
Risks
π Dependency on Market Conditions
Morgan Stanley's performance is closely tied to market conditions and interest rate dynamics. Any downturns or volatility in the markets could negatively impact revenues and client engagement.
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