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MS
Morgan Stanley
Summary
Business
Earnings Call
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Yearly Return 10Y annualized return is very good at 12.0% per year
Earnings Expectations MS has met or exceeded earnings expectations in most recent quarters (9/10)
Positive Reasonable Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Positive Attractive Price-to-Book Ratio
Positive Strong Operating and Net Profit Margins
Positive Good Return on Equity
Positive No Debt on Balance Sheet
Positive 🏦 Strong Financial Performance
Positive πŸ”— Integrated Firm Strategy
Positive πŸ“ˆ Strong Market Position
Positive πŸš€ Growth Opportunities in Wealth Management
Positive 🌍 Diverse Investment Management Strategy
Positive πŸ“ˆ Expected Recovery in Investment Banking
Negative Negative Price-to-Cash-Flow Ratio
Negative High EV to EBITDA Ratio
Negative Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative Liquidity Ratios Indicate Weakness
Negative ⚠️ Geopolitical Risks
Negative πŸ“‰ Dependency on Market Conditions

Morgan Stanley demonstrates strong overall business quality with a robust financial performance and a well-defined integrated strategy that positions it favorably in the market. However, geopolitical and market risks pose challenges. Future growth prospects appear bright, driven by strong wealth management and investment banking pipelines, yet they remain dependent on market conditions.

Analysis Date: January 16, 2025
Last Updated: March 12, 2025

+211%
+12.0% per year

Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.

Country US
Exchange NYSE
Industry Financial - Capital Markets
Sector Financial Services
Market Cap $207.24B
CEO Mr. Edward N. Pick

Morgan Stanley is a big financial company that helps people and organizations manage their money. They offer services like investment advice, helping businesses raise money, and planning for retirement. They work with individuals, small businesses, and large corporations around the world, guiding them on how to invest their money wisely and achieve their financial goals. Founded in 1924 and based in New York, Morgan Stanley is known for its expertise in finance.

Streams of revenue

Wealth Management Segment: 47%
Institutional Securities Segment: 44%
Investment Management Segment: 9%

Geographic Distribution

Americas: 75%
Asia: 13%
EMEA: 12%

Core Products

πŸ”
Research Market analysis
πŸ“ˆ
Sales & Trading Market transactions
πŸ“Š
Asset Management Portfolio services
πŸ’Ό
Wealth Management Investment advice
🏦
Investment Banking Capital raising

Business Type

B2B Business to Business

Competitive Advantages

🌍
Global Presence With operations in multiple regions, Morgan Stanley is well-positioned to capitalize on global market opportunities and mitigate risks associated with local economic downturns.
🏦
Strong Brand Reputation Morgan Stanley has a long-standing reputation for trust and reliability in the financial services industry, attracting high-net-worth clients and institutional investors.
πŸ“ˆ
Diverse Service Offerings The company provides a wide range of financial products and services, allowing it to cater to various client needs and reduce dependency on any single revenue source.
πŸ‘”
Expertise in Wealth Management Morgan Stanley's strong capabilities in wealth management attract affluent individuals and institutions, enabling personalized financial strategies and fostering long-term client relationships.
πŸ’»
Robust Technology Infrastructure Investment in advanced technology enhances trading efficiency, risk management, and client engagement, providing a competitive edge in the fast-evolving financial landscape.

Key Business Risks

πŸ’³
Credit Risk Potential defaults by borrowers may lead to significant financial losses in lending and investment portfolios.
βš™οΈ
Operational Risk Failures in internal processes, systems, or external events can disrupt operations and impact service delivery.
⚠️
Market Volatility Fluctuations in financial markets can adversely affect profitability and client investment strategies.
πŸ”’
Cybersecurity Threats Increased risk of cyberattacks can compromise sensitive data and lead to financial and reputational damage.
πŸ“œ
Regulatory Compliance Changes in regulations affecting financial services can lead to increased costs and operational challenges.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$217.02

Current Market Price: $96.24

IV/P Ratio: 2.25x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

56.00000000000001%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for MS

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
Yes P/E ratio ≀ 20 (12.47)
No P/B ratio ≀ 1.5 (1.60)
No Current ratio β‰₯ 2.0 (0.66x)
Yes Long-term debt < Net current assets (-1.15x)
Yes Margin of safety (56.00000000000001%)
No MS does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 13.125199107996178

ROA: None

Gross Profit Margin: 86.66722802290333

Net Profit Margin: 22.549680026945097

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Strong Operating and Net Profit Margins

46.94
Operating Profit Margin
22.55
Net Profit Margin

With an operating profit margin of 46.94% and a net profit margin of 22.55%, the company demonstrates strong profitability relative to its revenues.

Good Return on Equity

13.12
Return on Equity

The return on equity of 13.12% indicates that the company is effectively using equity investments to generate profits.

Negative Free Cash Flow

-4.62
Free Cash Flow Per Share

The free cash flow per share is -4.62, indicating that the company is currently burning cash rather than generating it, which is a significant concern for sustainability.

About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

13.13%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-25)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

86.67%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-25)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

22.55%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-25)

No Debt on Balance Sheet

0.0
Debt-to-Equity Ratio

With a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0, the company is not leveraging debt, which is a strong indicator of financial stability.

Liquidity Ratios Indicate Weakness

0.0
Current Ratio
0.0
Quick Ratio
0.0
Cash Ratio

The current ratio, quick ratio, and cash ratio are all at 0.0, suggesting a lack of liquidity and potential difficulties in meeting short-term obligations.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

3.42x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

0.66x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

Meeting Expectations

9 /10

Higher values indicate better execution and credibility

Recent Results

Beat earnings
2025-04-11 +17.6%
Beat earnings
2025-01-16 +37.0%
Beat earnings
2024-10-16 +19.0%
Beat earnings
2024-07-16 +10.3%
Beat earnings
2024-04-16 +21.7%
Missed earnings
2024-01-16 -2.0%
Beat earnings
2023-10-18 +7.8%
Beat earnings
2023-07-18 +7.8%
Beat earnings
2023-04-19 +4.9%
Beat earnings
2023-01-17 +5.9%

EPS

2.21
Estimated
2.60
Actual
+17.65%
Difference

🏦 Strong Financial Performance

$61.8 billion
Total Revenue 2024
$2.22
EPS Q4 2024

Morgan Stanley reported record revenues and earnings per share, with a total revenue of $61.8 billion for 2024 and a fourth quarter EPS of $2.22. This indicates strong financial health and effective cost management strategies.

πŸ”— Integrated Firm Strategy

$28.4 billion
Wealth Management Revenue 2024
$28.1 billion
Institutional Securities Revenue 2024

Morgan Stanley's integrated firm strategy emphasizes the synergy between wealth management and institutional securities, which enhances client services and drives revenue growth. The firm aims to deliver holistic financial solutions, demonstrating a commitment to client-centric services.

πŸ“ˆ Strong Market Position

$7.9 trillion
Client Assets
19%
Return on Tangible Equity

The firm has consistently gained market share, with a wallet share increase of nearly 100 basis points in institutional securities. This highlights Morgan Stanley's competitive advantage and its ability to capture client share in a growing market.

⚠️ Geopolitical Risks

Morgan Stanley faces significant geopolitical uncertainties that could impact its global operations and market performance. These risks could affect client confidence and investment decisions.

πŸš€ Growth Opportunities in Wealth Management

$250 billion
Net New Assets 2024
$10 trillion
Target Total Client Assets

Morgan Stanley's wealth management segment is on track for significant growth, with net new assets of $250 billion in 2024 and a target of reaching $10 trillion in total client assets. The firm's focus on advisor-led channels and expanding relationships indicates strong future growth potential.

🌍 Diverse Investment Management Strategy

$575 billion
Parametric Platform AUM

The firm is investing heavily in secular growth areas like alternatives and customized portfolios, which are expected to enhance revenue streams and diversify risk. Their parametric platform has grown to $575 billion, showcasing innovation in investment management.

πŸ“ˆ Expected Recovery in Investment Banking

Strongest in 5-10 years
M&A Pipeline Status

With a healthy M&A pipeline and improving market conditions, Morgan Stanley is well-positioned for a rebound in investment banking activities. The firm anticipates increased deal-making activity, which could significantly boost revenues in 2025.

πŸ“‰ Dependency on Market Conditions

Morgan Stanley's performance is closely tied to market conditions and interest rate dynamics. Any downturns or volatility in the markets could negatively impact revenues and client engagement.

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