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MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
Summary
Earnings Call Analysis
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Positive Strong Return on Equity
Positive Solid Gross Profit Margin
Positive High Operating Profit Margin
Positive Robust Net Profit Margin
Positive Low Debt Levels
Positive Strong Liquidity Ratios
Positive πŸ’ͺ Strong Cloud Business
Positive 🧠 AI Revenue Surge
Positive πŸ”’ High Customer Retention
Positive πŸš€ Continuous Innovation in AI
Positive 🌐 Global Data Center Expansion
Negative High Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Negative Elevated Price-to-Sales Ratio
Negative Low Cash Ratio
Negative ⚠️ Capacity Constraints
Negative πŸ”„ Execution Challenges

Microsoft demonstrates strong business quality through robust cloud revenue growth, a significant increase in AI revenue, and high customer retention. However, it faces challenges with capacity constraints and execution issues that may impact near-term growth. Future prospects remain positive due to continuous innovation in AI and infrastructure expansion.

Analysis Date: January 29, 2025
Last Updated: March 12, 2025

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$480.28

Current Market Price: $359.79

IV/P Ratio: 1.33x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

25.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for MSFT

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
No P/E ratio ≀ 20 (28.85)
No P/B ratio ≀ 1.5 (8.84)
No Current ratio β‰₯ 2.0 (1.35x)
No Long-term debt < Net current assets (1.49x)
Yes Margin of safety (25.0%)
No MSFT does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 33.36189927224299

ROA: 4.515469246934808

Gross Profit Margin: 69.40932460409012

Net Profit Margin: 35.42753684081863

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

High Operating Profit Margin

44.96%
Operating Profit Margin

Microsoft's operating profit margin is 44.96%, showcasing excellent operational efficiency and the ability to convert revenue into profit.

Robust Net Profit Margin

35.43%
Net Profit Margin

The net profit margin of 35.43% indicates that Microsoft retains a significant portion of its revenues as profit, reflecting strong overall profitability.

No profitability weaknesses identified.

About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

33.36%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Return on Assets (ROA)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate profits

4.52%

3% 7%

Higher values indicate better asset utilization

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

69.41%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

35.43%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Low Debt Levels

0.21
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
0.12
Debt-to-Assets Ratio

Microsoft maintains a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.21 and a debt-to-assets ratio of 0.12, indicating a conservative approach to leverage and a strong balance sheet.

Strong Liquidity Ratios

1.35
Current Ratio
1.34
Quick Ratio

With a current ratio of 1.35 and a quick ratio of 1.34, Microsoft demonstrates strong short-term liquidity, ensuring it can cover its short-term obligations.

Low Cash Ratio

0.16
Cash Ratio

The cash ratio of 0.16 suggests that Microsoft may have a lower immediate cash position relative to its current liabilities, which could be a concern in extreme liquidity crunches.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.21x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q2 2025

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

1.35x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q2 2025

πŸ’ͺ Strong Cloud Business

$40.9 billion
Cloud Revenue
21%
Year-over-Year Growth

Microsoft Cloud revenue surpassed $40 billion for the first time, growing 21% year-over-year. This indicates strong demand for cloud services and positions Microsoft as a leader in the sector.

🧠 AI Revenue Surge

$13 billion
AI Revenue Run Rate
175%
AI Year-over-Year Growth

Microsoft's AI business surpassed an annual revenue run rate of $13 billion, reflecting a 175% increase year-over-year. This positions AI as a critical growth driver for the company.

πŸ”’ High Customer Retention

97%
Annuity Mix

The company reported a 97% annuity mix, indicating high customer retention and a stable revenue base from recurring subscriptions.

⚠️ Capacity Constraints

Microsoft is experiencing capacity constraints in AI, which may hinder immediate growth potential. The company must balance investments to avoid over-committing resources.

πŸš€ Continuous Innovation in AI

200,000
Monthly Active Users for Copilot
400,000
Custom Agents Created

With the introduction of products like Microsoft 365 Copilot and Azure AI Foundry, Microsoft is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for AI solutions, ensuring future growth.

🌐 Global Data Center Expansion

100%
Data Center Capacity Increase

Microsoft has doubled its data center capacity in the last three years and continues to invest in infrastructure, indicating a strong commitment to supporting future cloud and AI workloads.

πŸ”„ Execution Challenges

There are execution issues in non-AI Azure components, indicating potential volatility in future revenue and growth rates within that segment.

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