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NOC
Northrop Grumman Corporation
Summary
Earnings Call Analysis
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Positive Attractive PE Ratio
Positive Favorable Price-to-Sales Ratio
Positive Strong Return on Equity
Positive Healthy Profit Margins
Positive Low Debt Levels
Positive Strong Interest Coverage
Positive 🌟 Strong Backlog
Positive 💰 Strong Financial Performance
Positive 🔧 Technological Differentiation
Positive 📈 International Growth Potential
Positive 🚀 Focus on Innovation
Positive 🔮 Continued Margin Expansion
Negative High Price-to-Cash-Flow Ratio
Negative Moderate Operating Profit Margin
Negative Low Cash Ratio

Overall, Northrop Grumman demonstrates high business quality through strong financial performance, a robust backlog, and unique technological capabilities. Future prospects appear positive, with expected growth driven by international opportunities and continued innovation.

Analysis Date: January 30, 2025
Last Updated: March 12, 2025

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$1101.43

Current Market Price: $481.71

IV/P Ratio: 2.29x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

56.00000000000001%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for NOC

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
Yes P/E ratio ≤ 20 (16.97)
No P/B ratio ≤ 1.5 (4.63)
No Current ratio ≥ 2.0 (1.01x)
No Long-term debt < Net current assets (12.32x)
Yes Margin of safety (56.00000000000001%)
No NOC does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 28.50995526109081

ROA: 2.560829838529954

Gross Profit Margin: 20.37871956717764

Net Profit Margin: 10.172300343625862

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Strong Return on Equity

28.51
Return on Equity

A return on equity (ROE) of 28.51% indicates effective management in generating profits from shareholders' equity, showcasing strong profitability.

Healthy Profit Margins

10.17
Net Profit Margin

The net profit margin of 10.17% reflects NOC's ability to convert revenue into actual profit, indicating solid operational efficiency.

Moderate Operating Profit Margin

10.9
Operating Profit Margin

The operating profit margin of 10.90% is decent but could be improved; it indicates the company has room to enhance operational efficiency.

About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

28.51%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Return on Assets (ROA)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate profits

2.56%

3% 7%

Higher values indicate better asset utilization

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

20.38%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

10.17%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Low Debt Levels

0.12
Debt-to-Equity Ratio

The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.12 signifies a conservative approach to leverage, indicating lower financial risk and greater stability.

Strong Interest Coverage

7.2
Interest Coverage Ratio

An interest coverage ratio of 7.20 shows that NOC comfortably covers its interest obligations, indicating strong financial health.

Low Cash Ratio

0.31
Cash Ratio

A cash ratio of 0.31 indicates that the company may have limited liquidity to cover short-term liabilities, which could pose a risk in financial distress situations.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.12x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

1.01x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

🌟 Strong Backlog

$91.5 billion
Record Backlog
1.23 times
Book-to-Bill Ratio

Northrop Grumman reported a record backlog of approximately $91.5 billion, reflecting strong demand for its capabilities and a book-to-bill ratio of 1.23 times. This indicates a solid foundation for future growth driven by competitive wins and follow-on awards.

💰 Strong Financial Performance

4% in 2024
Sales Growth
25% year-over-year
Free Cash Flow Increase

The company's top line grew by over 4% in 2024, with a significant focus on efficiency leading to margin expansion. Free cash flow performance was outstanding, increasing 25% year-over-year to over $2.6 billion.

🔧 Technological Differentiation

20% in 2024
Microelectronics Growth

Northrop Grumman’s strategic focus on technology differentiation has positioned it well in national security markets. The company has advanced capabilities in microelectronics and AI, which are crucial for defense applications.

No weaknesses identified.

📈 International Growth Potential

1.4 times
International Book-to-Bill Ratio

Northrop Grumman expects its international business to grow faster than U.S. sales in 2025, supported by a strong book-to-bill ratio of 1.4 times for international contracts. This indicates strong demand in global defense markets.

🚀 Focus on Innovation

$1.5 billion
2025 CapEx Investment

The company is investing heavily in advanced manufacturing techniques and digital ecosystems, which will enhance production capabilities and lead to faster fielding of new systems. This positions Northrop Grumman favorably for future technological advancements.

🔮 Continued Margin Expansion

3% to 4%
2025 Organic Growth Expectation

The guidance for 2025 includes expectations for continued organic growth of 3% to 4% and further segment margin expansion, indicating a strong outlook for profitability.

No risks identified.
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