10Y annualized return is
positive but below market average
at 2.3% per year
NTRS has met or exceeded earnings expectations in
some
recent quarters (5/10)
Attractive P/E Ratio
Strong Net Profit Margin
Good Return on Equity
Manageable Debt to Assets Ratio
π Strong Financial Performance
π Strong Risk Management and Technology Investment
π Market Position and Client Focus
π Growth in Wealth and Asset Management
π‘ Innovation and Technology Adoption
Negative Price-to-Cash Flow Ratio
Low Gross Profit Margin
Poor Liquidity Ratios
Low Interest Coverage Ratio
β οΈ Economic and Regulatory Risks
Overall, Northern Trust demonstrates robust business quality through strong financial performance, effective risk management, and a client-focused strategy. The future prospects appear positive with planned expansions in wealth and asset management, supported by technology innovations. However, external economic risks remain a concern.
Analysis Date: January 23, 2025 Last Updated: March 12, 2025
+25%
+2.3% per year
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.
CountryUS
ExchangeNASDAQ
IndustryAsset Management
SectorFinancial Services
Market Cap$20.46B
CEOMr. Michael Gerard O'Grady
Northern Trust Corporation is a company that helps people and organizations manage their money and investments. They offer services like investment management, banking, and financial advice for wealthy individuals, families, and businesses. Northern Trust specializes in keeping track of assets, helping clients grow their wealth, and providing support for things like estate planning and charitable giving. Founded in 1889 and based in Chicago, they serve clients all around the world.
Streams of revenue
Asset Servicing Segment:58%
Wealth Management:42%
Geographic Distribution
North America:62%
Europe, Middle East, and Africa:23%
Asia-Pacific:15%
Estimations for reference only
Core Products
πΌ
Asset ServicingCustody & fund admin
π°
Wealth ManagementFinancial planning
π₯οΈ
Technology SolutionsTech for finance
π
Investment ManagementPortfolio management
Business Type
Business to Business
Competitive Advantages
π‘οΈ
Reputation and TrustNorthern Trust has a long-standing reputation for reliability and trustworthiness, established since 1889, which attracts high-net-worth clients.
π»
Technological InnovationInvestment in cutting-edge technology for asset management and servicing enhances operational efficiency and client experience, setting Northern Trust apart from competitors.
π°
Comprehensive Service OfferingsThe company's extensive range of services in asset servicing and wealth management allows it to meet diverse client needs under one roof, enhancing client retention.
π
Global Reach with Local ExpertiseThe company's global presence combined with local market expertise allows it to serve clients effectively across different regions and navigate complex financial landscapes.
π€
Strong Institutional RelationshipsNorthern Trust has built strong relationships with institutional investors such as pension funds and foundations, providing a stable revenue base and fostering long-term partnerships.
Key Business Risks
π
Economic DownturnRecession risks could reduce client investments and demand for financial services.
β οΈ
Market VolatilityFluctuations in financial markets can negatively impact asset values and investment performance.
π₯
Client ConcentrationDependence on a small number of large clients can lead to revenue instability if relationships change.
π
Cybersecurity ThreatsIncreased cyber attacks pose risks to data security, client trust, and operational continuity.
π
Regulatory ComplianceChanges in regulations or non-compliance can lead to fines, legal issues, and damage to reputation.
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Graham Value Metrics
Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.
Intrinsic Value
Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula
$391.11
Current Market Price: $83.87
IV/P Ratio: 4.66x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)
Margin of Safety
Gap between intrinsic value and market price
79.0%
Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety
Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value
Graham Criteria Checklist
Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for NTRS
Positive earnings (5+ years)
Dividend history (5+ years)
P/E ratio β€ 20 (8.47)
P/B ratio β€ 1.5 (1.34)
Current ratio β₯ 2.0
Long-term debt < Net current assets
Margin of safety (79.0%)
NTRS does not meet all Graham criteria
ROE: 16.153494383139478
ROA: None
Gross Profit Margin: 100.7747101336245
Net Profit Margin: 17.600824970970034
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Profitability & Past Results
Strengths
Strong Net Profit Margin
17.60%
Net Profit Margin
The net profit margin of 17.60% is a positive indicator of the companyβs ability to convert revenue into profit, suggesting effective cost management.
Good Return on Equity
16.15%
Return on Equity
A return on equity (ROE) of 16.15% indicates that the company is effectively using equity to generate profit, reflecting strong financial performance.
Weaknesses
Low Gross Profit Margin
1.01%
Gross Profit Margin
The gross profit margin of 1.01% is extremely low, indicating potential issues with cost structure or pricing strategy.
About Profitability Metrics
Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.
Return on Equity (ROE)
Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits
16.15%
10%15%
Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders
TTM (as of 2025-04-25)
Gross Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold
100.77%
20%40%
Higher values indicate better efficiency in production
TTM (as of 2025-04-25)
Net Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses
A debt-to-assets ratio of 8.60% suggests that the company has a relatively low level of debt compared to its total assets, indicating a solid financial foundation.
Weaknesses
Poor Liquidity Ratios
0.0
Current Ratio
0.0
Quick Ratio
0.0
Cash Ratio
The current ratio, quick ratio, and cash ratio are all 0.0, indicating severe liquidity issues that could hinder short-term obligations.
Low Interest Coverage Ratio
0.22
Interest Coverage Ratio
An interest coverage ratio of 0.22 indicates the company struggles to cover its interest obligations, raising concerns about financial stability.
About Financial Health Metrics
Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.
Debt to Equity Ratio
Total debt divided by total equity
1.05x
1.0x2.0x
Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk
Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk
Q4 2024
Current Ratio
Current assets divided by current liabilities
NTRS: No data available
Historical Earnings Results
Meeting Expectations
5/10
Higher values indicate better execution and credibility
Recent Results
2025-01-23
+15.3%
2024-10-23
+15.5%
2024-07-17
+1.7%
2024-04-16
+17.2%
2024-01-18
+9.8%
2023-10-18
-0.7%
2023-07-19
-3.7%
2023-04-25
-0.7%
2023-01-19
-8.8%
2022-10-19
-2.2%
Earnings call from January 23, 2025
EPS
1.96
Estimated
2.26
Actual
+15.31%
Difference
Strengths
π Strong Financial Performance
12%
Trust Fees Growth
15%
Net Interest Income Growth
24%
EPS Growth
Northern Trust reported a significant increase in key financial metrics, including a 12% increase in trust fees and a 15% growth in net interest income. The company generated positive operating leverage and a 24% EPS growth year-over-year, indicating a solid financial foundation.
π Strong Risk Management and Technology Investment
7% over peak levels
Headcount Reduction in Asset Servicing
600 basis-points of trust fee operating leverage
Operational Efficiency Improvements
The company has made significant investments in technology to enhance its risk and control systems, including modernizing its core platforms and adopting AI tools. These efforts are aimed at improving operational efficiency and maintaining resilience against market fluctuations.
π Market Position and Client Focus
140+
New Business Opportunities
12%
Assets Under Management Growth
Northern Trust's 'One Northern Trust' strategy emphasizes enhancing client experiences and expanding service offerings across wealth management and asset management. The collaborative approach has led to significant client wins and improved market positioning.
Weaknesses
No weaknesses identified.
Opportunities
π Growth in Wealth and Asset Management
Double-digit growth
Projected Growth in Wealth Management
Northern Trust aims to capture growth in wealth and asset management by expanding its suite of alternative investment solutions and enhancing its global family office services. The company intends to deepen client relationships and target high-net-worth individuals more effectively.
π‘ Innovation and Technology Adoption
Significant multi-year effort in modernization
Investment in Technology
The firm is focused on further integrating technology and AI in its operations to enhance service delivery and operational efficiency. These innovations are expected to drive productivity and align with industry trends, positioning Northern Trust favorably for future growth.
Risks
β οΈ Economic and Regulatory Risks
The company remains cautious about potential economic downturns and regulatory changes that could impact liquidity and interest rates. Although they are preparing for these uncertainties, such risks could affect future performance.
We use cookies to analyze site traffic and optimize your site experience.
By accepting, you consent to our use of cookies. Read our Privacy Policy to Learn more.