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NTRS
Northern Trust Corporation
Summary
Business
Earnings Call
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Yearly Return 10Y annualized return is positive but below market average at 2.3% per year
Earnings Expectations NTRS has met or exceeded earnings expectations in some recent quarters (5/10)
Positive Attractive P/E Ratio
Positive Strong Net Profit Margin
Positive Good Return on Equity
Positive Manageable Debt to Assets Ratio
Positive πŸ“ˆ Strong Financial Performance
Positive πŸ”’ Strong Risk Management and Technology Investment
Positive 🌍 Market Position and Client Focus
Positive πŸš€ Growth in Wealth and Asset Management
Positive πŸ’‘ Innovation and Technology Adoption
Negative Negative Price-to-Cash Flow Ratio
Negative Low Gross Profit Margin
Negative Poor Liquidity Ratios
Negative Low Interest Coverage Ratio
Negative ⚠️ Economic and Regulatory Risks

Overall, Northern Trust demonstrates robust business quality through strong financial performance, effective risk management, and a client-focused strategy. The future prospects appear positive with planned expansions in wealth and asset management, supported by technology innovations. However, external economic risks remain a concern.

Analysis Date: January 23, 2025
Last Updated: March 12, 2025

+25%
+2.3% per year

Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.

Country US
Exchange NASDAQ
Industry Asset Management
Sector Financial Services
Market Cap $20.46B
CEO Mr. Michael Gerard O'Grady

Northern Trust Corporation is a company that helps people and organizations manage their money and investments. They offer services like investment management, banking, and financial advice for wealthy individuals, families, and businesses. Northern Trust specializes in keeping track of assets, helping clients grow their wealth, and providing support for things like estate planning and charitable giving. Founded in 1889 and based in Chicago, they serve clients all around the world.

Streams of revenue

Asset Servicing Segment: 58%
Wealth Management: 42%

Geographic Distribution

North America: 62%
Europe, Middle East, and Africa: 23%
Asia-Pacific: 15%

Estimations for reference only

Core Products

πŸ’Ό
Asset Servicing Custody & fund admin
πŸ’°
Wealth Management Financial planning
πŸ–₯️
Technology Solutions Tech for finance
πŸ“ˆ
Investment Management Portfolio management

Business Type

B2B Business to Business

Competitive Advantages

πŸ›‘οΈ
Reputation and Trust Northern Trust has a long-standing reputation for reliability and trustworthiness, established since 1889, which attracts high-net-worth clients.
πŸ’»
Technological Innovation Investment in cutting-edge technology for asset management and servicing enhances operational efficiency and client experience, setting Northern Trust apart from competitors.
πŸ’°
Comprehensive Service Offerings The company's extensive range of services in asset servicing and wealth management allows it to meet diverse client needs under one roof, enhancing client retention.
🌍
Global Reach with Local Expertise The company's global presence combined with local market expertise allows it to serve clients effectively across different regions and navigate complex financial landscapes.
🀝
Strong Institutional Relationships Northern Trust has built strong relationships with institutional investors such as pension funds and foundations, providing a stable revenue base and fostering long-term partnerships.

Key Business Risks

πŸ“‰
Economic Downturn Recession risks could reduce client investments and demand for financial services.
⚠️
Market Volatility Fluctuations in financial markets can negatively impact asset values and investment performance.
πŸ‘₯
Client Concentration Dependence on a small number of large clients can lead to revenue instability if relationships change.
πŸ”’
Cybersecurity Threats Increased cyber attacks pose risks to data security, client trust, and operational continuity.
πŸ“œ
Regulatory Compliance Changes in regulations or non-compliance can lead to fines, legal issues, and damage to reputation.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$391.11

Current Market Price: $83.87

IV/P Ratio: 4.66x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

79.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for NTRS

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
Yes P/E ratio ≀ 20 (8.47)
Yes P/B ratio ≀ 1.5 (1.34)
No Current ratio β‰₯ 2.0
No Long-term debt < Net current assets
Yes Margin of safety (79.0%)
No NTRS does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 16.153494383139478

ROA: None

Gross Profit Margin: 100.7747101336245

Net Profit Margin: 17.600824970970034

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Strong Net Profit Margin

17.60%
Net Profit Margin

The net profit margin of 17.60% is a positive indicator of the company’s ability to convert revenue into profit, suggesting effective cost management.

Good Return on Equity

16.15%
Return on Equity

A return on equity (ROE) of 16.15% indicates that the company is effectively using equity to generate profit, reflecting strong financial performance.

Low Gross Profit Margin

1.01%
Gross Profit Margin

The gross profit margin of 1.01% is extremely low, indicating potential issues with cost structure or pricing strategy.

About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

16.15%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-25)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

100.77%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-25)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

17.60%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-25)

Manageable Debt to Assets Ratio

8.60%
Debt to Assets Ratio

A debt-to-assets ratio of 8.60% suggests that the company has a relatively low level of debt compared to its total assets, indicating a solid financial foundation.

Poor Liquidity Ratios

0.0
Current Ratio
0.0
Quick Ratio
0.0
Cash Ratio

The current ratio, quick ratio, and cash ratio are all 0.0, indicating severe liquidity issues that could hinder short-term obligations.

Low Interest Coverage Ratio

0.22
Interest Coverage Ratio

An interest coverage ratio of 0.22 indicates the company struggles to cover its interest obligations, raising concerns about financial stability.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

1.05x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

NTRS: No data available

Meeting Expectations

5 /10

Higher values indicate better execution and credibility

Recent Results

Beat earnings
2025-01-23 +15.3%
Beat earnings
2024-10-23 +15.5%
Beat earnings
2024-07-17 +1.7%
Beat earnings
2024-04-16 +17.2%
Beat earnings
2024-01-18 +9.8%
Missed earnings
2023-10-18 -0.7%
Missed earnings
2023-07-19 -3.7%
Missed earnings
2023-04-25 -0.7%
Missed earnings
2023-01-19 -8.8%
Missed earnings
2022-10-19 -2.2%

EPS

1.96
Estimated
2.26
Actual
+15.31%
Difference

πŸ“ˆ Strong Financial Performance

12%
Trust Fees Growth
15%
Net Interest Income Growth
24%
EPS Growth

Northern Trust reported a significant increase in key financial metrics, including a 12% increase in trust fees and a 15% growth in net interest income. The company generated positive operating leverage and a 24% EPS growth year-over-year, indicating a solid financial foundation.

πŸ”’ Strong Risk Management and Technology Investment

7% over peak levels
Headcount Reduction in Asset Servicing
600 basis-points of trust fee operating leverage
Operational Efficiency Improvements

The company has made significant investments in technology to enhance its risk and control systems, including modernizing its core platforms and adopting AI tools. These efforts are aimed at improving operational efficiency and maintaining resilience against market fluctuations.

🌍 Market Position and Client Focus

140+
New Business Opportunities
12%
Assets Under Management Growth

Northern Trust's 'One Northern Trust' strategy emphasizes enhancing client experiences and expanding service offerings across wealth management and asset management. The collaborative approach has led to significant client wins and improved market positioning.

No weaknesses identified.

πŸš€ Growth in Wealth and Asset Management

Double-digit growth
Projected Growth in Wealth Management

Northern Trust aims to capture growth in wealth and asset management by expanding its suite of alternative investment solutions and enhancing its global family office services. The company intends to deepen client relationships and target high-net-worth individuals more effectively.

πŸ’‘ Innovation and Technology Adoption

Significant multi-year effort in modernization
Investment in Technology

The firm is focused on further integrating technology and AI in its operations to enhance service delivery and operational efficiency. These innovations are expected to drive productivity and align with industry trends, positioning Northern Trust favorably for future growth.

⚠️ Economic and Regulatory Risks

The company remains cautious about potential economic downturns and regulatory changes that could impact liquidity and interest rates. Although they are preparing for these uncertainties, such risks could affect future performance.

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