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ON
ON Semiconductor Corporation
Summary
Earnings Call Analysis
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Positive Attractive PE Ratio
Positive Low EV/EBITDA Ratio
Positive Strong Net Profit Margin
Positive High Return on Equity
Positive Strong Liquidity Ratios
Positive Low Debt Levels
Positive πŸ† Strong Gross Margins
Positive πŸš€ Focused Transformation Strategy
Positive πŸ”‹ Silicon Carbide Leadership
Positive 🌟 Strategic R&D Investments
Positive πŸ“Š Expected Revenue Recovery
Negative Price to Sales Ratio Concerns
Negative πŸ“‰ Declining Core Market Demand
Negative πŸ” Limited Visibility
Negative ⚠️ Q1 Revenue Guidance

Overall, ON Semiconductor demonstrates a strong business model with solid margins and strategic focus on high-growth segments, although it faces challenges from declining demand in non-core markets and limited visibility for future recovery. Their focus on innovation and market leadership in silicon carbide and AI data centers provides a promising outlook for the future.

Analysis Date: February 10, 2025
Last Updated: March 12, 2025

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$141.74

Current Market Price: $33.24

IV/P Ratio: 4.26x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

77.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for ON

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
No Dividend history (5+ years)
Yes P/E ratio ≀ 20 (9.15)
No P/B ratio ≀ 1.5 (1.64)
Yes Current ratio β‰₯ 2.0 (5.06x)
Yes Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.62x)
Yes Margin of safety (77.0%)
No ON does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 18.58887421366923

ROA: 2.6962767392014078

Gross Profit Margin: 45.063044491196365

Net Profit Margin: 22.20747497281956

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Strong Net Profit Margin

22.21
Net Profit Margin

A net profit margin of 22.21% indicates that the company retains a significant portion of revenue as profit, reflecting strong cost management and pricing power.

High Return on Equity

18.59
Return on Equity

The return on equity (ROE) of 18.59% demonstrates effective use of shareholder equity to generate profits.

No profitability weaknesses identified.

About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

18.59%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Return on Assets (ROA)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate profits

2.70%

3% 7%

Higher values indicate better asset utilization

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

45.06%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

22.21%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Strong Liquidity Ratios

5.06
Current Ratio
3.38
Quick Ratio

The current ratio of 5.06 and quick ratio of 3.38 indicate robust liquidity, suggesting the company can easily cover its short-term obligations.

Low Debt Levels

0.38
Debt to Equity

With a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.38, the company is minimally leveraged, which reduces financial risk.

No financial health weaknesses identified.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.38x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

5.06x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

πŸ† Strong Gross Margins

45.5%
Non-GAAP Gross Margin

ON Semiconductor has maintained a robust non-GAAP gross margin of 45.5% against revenue of $7.1 billion for the full year, showcasing operational efficiency and strong pricing power in a challenging market environment.

πŸš€ Focused Transformation Strategy

>40%
Revenue from AI Data Centers Growth

The company is committed to its transformation journey by focusing on intelligent power and sensing technologies, investing in high-growth segments such as automotive and AI data centers. This strategic focus positions ON Semiconductor well for long-term growth.

πŸ”‹ Silicon Carbide Leadership

22% increase in 2H 2024
Silicon Carbide Revenue Growth

The company is gaining market share in silicon carbide technologies, which are critical for EVs and AI applications. This positions them favorably within the high-growth segments of the semiconductor market.

πŸ“‰ Declining Core Market Demand

24% quarter over quarter
Non-Core Revenue Decline

There has been a significant decline in non-core markets, which has impacted revenue. The company is prioritizing exiting these volatile markets, which could limit short-term revenue opportunities.

🌟 Strategic R&D Investments

$36 billion
TAM for Treo Platform

Continuing investment in R&D, particularly with the new Treo platform, is expected to unlock significant market opportunities, projecting a TAM of $36 billion with high gross margins.

πŸ“Š Expected Revenue Recovery

25% to 30% in 2025
Free Cash Flow Target

Despite current demand uncertainty, management believes they are under-shipping natural demand and expects a recovery in automotive and industrial segments as inventory levels normalize.

πŸ” Limited Visibility

The company acknowledges limited visibility for Q1 and beyond due to geopolitical uncertainties and fluctuating demand, making it challenging to predict recovery timelines.

⚠️ Q1 Revenue Guidance

$1.35 billion - $1.45 billion
Q1 Revenue Forecast

The company expects a significant drop in Q1 revenue forecasted between $1.35 billion and $1.45 billion, indicating continued challenges in the short term.

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