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PHM
PulteGroup, Inc.
Summary
Earnings Call Analysis
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Positive Low Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Positive Attractive EV/EBITDA Ratio
Positive Strong Return on Equity
Positive Healthy Net Profit Margin
Positive Strong Liquidity Position
Positive Low Debt Levels
Positive πŸ† Strong Financial Performance
Positive πŸ“ˆ Efficient Capital Management
Positive πŸ… Recognition for Company Culture
Positive 🌍 Positive Long-term Housing Outlook
Positive πŸ”„ Strategic Inventory Management
Negative Higher Price-to-Cash Flow Ratio
Negative ⚠️ Rising Costs and Affordability Challenges
Negative πŸ’” Affordability Pressures on Homebuyers

PulteGroup demonstrates strong business quality through financial performance, efficient capital management, and a positive workplace culture. Future prospects appear optimistic, driven by a favorable long-term housing outlook and strategic inventory management, although concerns around affordability may pose challenges.

Analysis Date: January 30, 2025
Last Updated: March 12, 2025

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$575.41

Current Market Price: $98.93

IV/P Ratio: 5.82x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

83.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for PHM

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
Yes P/E ratio ≀ 20 (6.77)
No P/B ratio ≀ 1.5 (1.72)
Yes Current ratio β‰₯ 2.0 (11.08x)
Yes Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.15x)
Yes Margin of safety (83.0%)
No PHM does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 27.004139808512427

ROA: 5.259453264825142

Gross Profit Margin: 29.07264303557746

Net Profit Margin: 17.179865259564146

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Strong Return on Equity

27.0
Return on Equity

A return on equity of 27.00% indicates that the company is effectively generating strong profits from its equity base.

Healthy Net Profit Margin

17.18
Net Profit Margin

With a net profit margin of 17.18%, the company demonstrates effective cost management and profitability in its operations.

No profitability weaknesses identified.

About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

27.00%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Return on Assets (ROA)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate profits

5.26%

3% 7%

Higher values indicate better asset utilization

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

29.07%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

17.18%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Strong Liquidity Position

11.08
Current Ratio

The current ratio of 11.08 indicates that the company has a strong ability to meet its short-term obligations, suggesting excellent liquidity.

Low Debt Levels

0.19
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
0.13
Debt-to-Assets Ratio

A debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19 and debt-to-assets of 0.13 signify low reliance on debt, indicating a strong balance sheet.

No financial health weaknesses identified.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.19x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

11.08x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

πŸ† Strong Financial Performance

$17.3 billion
Home Sale Revenues
28.9%
Gross Margins

PulteGroup reported record home sale revenues of $17.3 billion in 2024, a 9% increase from the previous year. The company also achieved industry-leading gross margins of 28.9%, demonstrating strong profitability despite affordability challenges.

πŸ“ˆ Efficient Capital Management

$1.7 billion
Cash Flow from Operations
11.8%
Gross Debt-to-Capital Ratio

The company generated $1.7 billion in cash flow from operations while investing $5.3 billion in new land, maintaining a gross debt-to-capital ratio of only 11.8%. This reflects a strong balance sheet and prudent capital allocation.

πŸ… Recognition for Company Culture

PulteGroup was named to Fortune's Top 100 Best Companies to Work For in 2024, indicating a strong corporate culture that can attract and retain talent.

⚠️ Rising Costs and Affordability Challenges

10%
Projected Land Cost Increase

The company faces increasing land costs, projected at a 10% increase year-over-year, and rising construction costs, which could pressure margins and affordability for homebuyers.

🌍 Positive Long-term Housing Outlook

The management expressed confidence in the long-term demand for new homes, citing a strong economy, employment stability, and structural housing shortages as positive indicators for growth.

πŸ”„ Strategic Inventory Management

40-45%
Target Spec Inventory

PulteGroup plans to maintain a flexible production strategy aligned with demand, aiming for a spec inventory of 40-45%. This adaptability positions the company to react effectively to market conditions.

πŸ’” Affordability Pressures on Homebuyers

The increase in mortgage rates and high living costs are impacting first-time buyers, which could lead to lower activity levels in the housing market.

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