10Y annualized return is
positive but below market average
at 1.3% per year
PPL has met or exceeded earnings expectations in
some
recent quarters (5/10)
Reasonable Price-to-Book Ratio
Attractive Gross Profit Margin
Healthy Operating Profit Margin
Positive Net Profit Margin
Manageable Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Interest Coverage Ratio Above 2
π Strong Operational Performance
π± Infrastructure Investment
π Consistent Growth Outlook
β‘ Emphasis on Innovation
π Commitment to Clean Energy
π Data Center Growth Potential
High P/E Ratio
Negative Price-to-Free Cash Flow Ratio
Low Return on Equity
Low Current and Quick Ratios
π° Regulatory Lag Concerns
π Dependency on Capital Markets
π Weather-Related Challenges
π Mild Weather Impact
Overall, PPL Corporation showcases a strong operational performance and a solid growth outlook supported by significant infrastructure investments and a commitment to innovation. However, potential regulatory lag and reliance on capital markets pose risks that need to be managed carefully.
Analysis Date: February 13, 2025 Last Updated: March 12, 2025
+14%
+1.3% per year
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.
CountryUS
ExchangeNYSE
IndustryRegulated Electric
SectorUtilities
Market Cap$23.42B
CEOMr. Joseph P. Bergstein Jr.
PPL Corporation is a company that provides electricity and natural gas to homes and businesses in the United States and the United Kingdom. They serve many customers in Kentucky and Pennsylvania, making sure people have the energy they need for everyday life. PPL generates electricity from different sources like coal, gas, water, and solar power. Essentially, they help keep the lights on and homes warm for millions of people.
Streams of revenue
Kentucky Regulated:100%
Corporate Segment:0%
Geographic Distribution
Kentucky Regulated:44%
Pennsylvania Regulated:34%
Rhode Island Regulated:22%
Core Products
πΏ
Renewable EnergyGreen energy solutions
π
Energy GenerationPower plant operations
β‘
Electricity DistributionPower supply services
Business Type
Business to Business
Competitive Advantages
β‘
Diverse Energy SourcesThe company generates electricity from multiple sources, including coal, gas, hydro, and solar, reducing dependence on any single energy source.
π€
Regulatory RelationshipsStrong relationships with regulatory bodies help PPL navigate compliance and secure favorable operational conditions.
π‘
Established Customer BasePPL serves a large and diverse customer base across multiple states, creating customer loyalty and reducing churn.
ποΈ
Infrastructure InvestmentSignificant investments in infrastructure enhance service reliability and efficiency, reinforcing PPL's competitive edge in the utility sector.
π‘οΈ
Regulated Market PositionPPL operates in regulated markets, providing stability and predictable revenue streams due to government oversight and rate-setting.
Key Business Risks
π
Economic DownturnsEconomic recessions can lead to reduced energy consumption and increased default rates on customer payments.
π
Market CompetitionIncreased competition from alternative energy providers may lead to loss of customers and market share.
βοΈ
Regulatory ChangesChanges in regulations can impact operational costs and pricing structures, affecting profitability.
π
Environmental RisksCompliance with environmental regulations and potential liabilities from pollution or accidents can affect operations.
π
Supply Chain DisruptionsDisruptions in the supply chain for fuel sources can impact electricity generation and service delivery.
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Graham Value Metrics
Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.
Intrinsic Value
Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula
$15.04
Current Market Price: $34.47
IV/P Ratio: 0.44x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)
Margin of Safety
Gap between intrinsic value and market price
-129.0%
Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety
Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value
Graham Criteria Checklist
Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for PPL
Positive earnings (5+ years)
Dividend history (5+ years)
P/E ratio β€ 20 (28.64)
P/B ratio β€ 1.5 (1.26)
Current ratio β₯ 2.0 (0.90x)
Long-term debt < Net current assets (-102.26x)
Margin of safety (-129.0%)
PPL does not meet all Graham criteria
ROE: 5.6954109611006
ROA: None
Gross Profit Margin: 39.340581422831484
Net Profit Margin: 10.493973056015127
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Profitability & Past Results
Strengths
Healthy Operating Profit Margin
0.2086
Operating Profit Margin
The operating profit margin of 20.86% reflects strong operational efficiency, implying that the company is effective in managing its operating expenses relative to its revenue.
Positive Net Profit Margin
0.1049
Net Profit Margin
With a net profit margin of 10.49%, the company shows that it can convert a portion of its revenue into profit, which is an encouraging sign for profitability.
Weaknesses
Low Return on Equity
0.0569
Return on Equity
A return on equity (ROE) of 5.70% indicates that the company is not generating significant returns for shareholders relative to their equity investment, which may be a red flag.
About Profitability Metrics
Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.
Return on Equity (ROE)
Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits
5.70%
10%15%
Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders
TTM (as of 2025-04-25)
Gross Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold
39.34%
20%40%
Higher values indicate better efficiency in production
TTM (as of 2025-04-25)
Net Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses
The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.81 suggests that the company is not excessively leveraged, indicating a balanced approach to financing through debt and equity.
Interest Coverage Ratio Above 2
2.3916
Interest Coverage Ratio
An interest coverage ratio of 2.39 implies that the company can comfortably cover its interest expenses with its earnings, highlighting a lower risk of default.
Weaknesses
Low Current and Quick Ratios
0.8959
Current Ratio
0.8959
Quick Ratio
Both the current ratio (0.90) and quick ratio (0.90) indicate that the company may have liquidity concerns, as they are below the ideal benchmark of 1.0.
About Financial Health Metrics
Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.
Debt to Equity Ratio
Total debt divided by total equity
0.81x
1.0x2.0x
Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk
Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk
Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good
Q4 2024
Historical Earnings Results
Meeting Expectations
5/10
Higher values indicate better execution and credibility
Recent Results
2025-02-13
-8.1%
2024-11-01
+0.1%
2024-08-02
+15.6%
2024-05-01
+8.0%
2024-02-16
+5.3%
2023-11-02
-4.4%
2023-08-04
-9.4%
2023-05-04
+4.3%
2023-02-17
0.0%
2022-11-04
0.0%
Earnings call from February 13, 2025
EPS
0.37
Estimated
0.34
Actual
-8.11%
Difference
Strengths
π Strong Operational Performance
$1.69
Ongoing Earnings per Share (2024)
$130 million
O&M Savings Target Achieved
PPL demonstrated top quartile transmission and distribution reliability in its service areas, even amidst severe weather challenges. The commitment to safety and reliability enhances customer trust and satisfaction.
π± Infrastructure Investment
$20 billion
Planned Capital Investments (2025-2028)
The company executed $3.1 billion in infrastructure investments in 2024, which strengthens grid reliability and resilience. This proactive approach ensures continued service quality and safety for customers.
π Consistent Growth Outlook
$1.81
Forecasted Earnings per Share (2025)
PPL has extended its target for 6% to 8% annual earnings and dividend growth through at least 2028, indicating a solid growth trajectory backed by a robust capital plan.
Weaknesses
π° Regulatory Lag Concerns
The company expects to experience regulatory lag during its growth period, potentially affecting earnings in the short term as it transitions to a more rate-based growth model.
π Dependency on Capital Markets
PPL anticipates needing $2.5 billion in equity through 2028 to fund its capital investments, indicating reliance on capital markets which may introduce risks depending on market conditions.
Opportunities
β‘ Emphasis on Innovation
175 projects
R&D Initiatives
PPL is investing in advanced technologies and smart grid initiatives to enhance operational efficiency, which positions the company to better manage future energy demands and customer needs.
π Commitment to Clean Energy
240 megawatts
New Solar Capacity
125 megawatts
Battery Storage Capacity
The planned generation replacement strategy includes investments in renewable energy sources such as solar and battery storage, aligning with market trends towards cleaner energy solutions.
π Data Center Growth Potential
56 gigawatts
Potential Data Center Demand
PPL is seeing robust demand from data center developments, which could lead to significant transmission capital investments and lower costs for customers as these centers come online.
Risks
π Weather-Related Challenges
The company has faced weather-related challenges impacting operations and financial performance, highlighting vulnerability to environmental factors.
π Mild Weather Impact
The mild weather in December 2024 slightly affected earnings, illustrating how external factors can influence financial results.
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