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ROK
Rockwell Automation, Inc.
Summary
Earnings Call Analysis
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Positive Strong Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Positive Healthy Price-to-Sales Ratio
Positive Strong Return on Equity
Positive Solid Gross Profit Margin
Positive Satisfactory Current Ratio
Positive Strong Interest Coverage
Positive πŸ† Operational Excellence Focus
Positive πŸ“ˆ Strong Order Performance
Positive 🌍 Market Position and Adaptability
Positive πŸš€ Growth in E-commerce and Warehouse Automation
Positive 🧠 Innovation and New Projects
Negative High Price-to-Book Ratio
Negative Elevated EV/EBITDA Ratio
Negative Moderate Operating Profit Margin
Negative Net Profit Margin Indicates Pressure
Negative High Debt Levels
Negative Low Cash Ratio
Negative ⚠️ Sales Decline in Key Segments
Negative πŸ”„ Currency Headwinds
Negative 🌏 Weakness in Asia Pacific
Negative πŸ“‰ Uncertainty in Macroeconomic Environment

Rockwell Automation demonstrates strong operational focus and solid order performance, but faces challenges in sales and currency impacts. The outlook remains positive with growth in key segments and a strong project pipeline, despite uncertainties in certain regions.

Analysis Date: February 10, 2025
Last Updated: March 12, 2025

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$101.02

Current Market Price: $225.26

IV/P Ratio: 0.45x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

-123.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for ROK

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
No P/E ratio ≀ 20 (28.10)
No P/B ratio ≀ 1.5 (7.65)
No Current ratio β‰₯ 2.0 (1.08x)
No Long-term debt < Net current assets (10.63x)
No Margin of safety (-123.0%)
No ROK does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 26.79638759216439

ROA: 1.6812865497076022

Gross Profit Margin: 45.34114016238589

Net Profit Margin: 13.286511587660979

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Strong Return on Equity

26.80%
Return on Equity

ROK's return on equity (ROE) of 26.80% indicates that the company is effective at generating profits from its equity.

Solid Gross Profit Margin

45.34%
Gross Profit Margin

A gross profit margin of 45.34% reflects ROK's ability to maintain profitability at the core operational level.

Moderate Operating Profit Margin

17.82%
Operating Profit Margin

With an operating profit margin of 17.82%, there is room for improvement in controlling operating expenses.

Net Profit Margin Indicates Pressure

13.29%
Net Profit Margin

A net profit margin of 13.29% suggests that after all expenses, ROK is left with a moderate profit, indicating potential pressure.

About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

26.80%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Return on Assets (ROA)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate profits

1.68%

3% 7%

Higher values indicate better asset utilization

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

45.34%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

13.29%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Satisfactory Current Ratio

1.08
Current Ratio

A current ratio of 1.08 indicates that ROK can cover its short-term liabilities with its short-term assets.

Strong Interest Coverage

7.75
Interest Coverage

An interest coverage ratio of 7.75 suggests that ROK can comfortably meet its interest obligations.

High Debt Levels

1.19
Debt-to-Equity Ratio

With a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.19, ROK is leveraging itself significantly, which could pose risks in adverse economic conditions.

Low Cash Ratio

0.14
Cash Ratio

A cash ratio of 0.14 indicates that ROK has limited cash reserves to meet short-term liabilities, which raises liquidity concerns.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

1.13x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q1 2025

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

1.08x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q1 2025

πŸ† Operational Excellence Focus

$250 million
Productivity Benefits Target

Rockwell Automation has renewed its focus on operational excellence and cost discipline, which is creating a solid foundation for growth. The company is on track to achieve $250 million in productivity benefits for fiscal 2025.

πŸ“ˆ Strong Order Performance

10%
Quarterly Orders Growth
>1
Book-to-Bill Ratio

The company reported a 10% year-over-year increase in orders, with mid-single digit sequential growth across all regions and business segments, indicating solid underlying demand.

🌍 Market Position and Adaptability

<10%
US Manufacturing Revenue Exposure

Rockwell Automation has a strong US manufacturing footprint which positions it well to navigate the impact of tariffs and changes in the global supply chain, benefiting from policies that promote US manufacturing.

⚠️ Sales Decline in Key Segments

8.5%
Year-over-Year Sales Decline

Despite strong order growth, sales decreased by 8.5% year-over-year, driven by a difficult comparison against a sizable product backlog and challenges in the Intelligent Devices segment.

πŸ”„ Currency Headwinds

1.5 points
Currency Impact on Sales

The company faced a negative impact from currency translation, which was a headwind of 1.5 points to reported sales, indicating vulnerability to foreign exchange fluctuations.

πŸš€ Growth in E-commerce and Warehouse Automation

High single digits
Projected Growth in E-commerce

The company anticipates strong growth in e-commerce and warehouse automation, projecting high single-digit growth for fiscal 2025 as customer investments accelerate in this area.

🧠 Innovation and New Projects

10%
Annual Recurring Revenue Growth

Rockwell Automation is seeing a pipeline of multiyear projects across key industries, which include advancements in software and automation technologies, indicating strong future demand.

🌏 Weakness in Asia Pacific

<5%
Asia Pacific Revenue Contribution

The company expects Asia Pacific to be the weakest region for fiscal 2025, particularly due to ongoing challenges in China, which is anticipated to impact overall growth.

πŸ“‰ Uncertainty in Macroeconomic Environment

Ongoing
Capital Expenditure Uncertainty

Macroeconomic and policy uncertainties continue to weigh on customer capital expenditure plans, which could limit growth potential in the near term.

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