10Y annualized return is
excellent
at 17.5% per year
ROL has met or exceeded earnings expectations in
few
recent quarters (3/10)
Strong Return on Equity
Strong Gross Profit Margin
Positive Net Profit Margin
Manageable Debt Levels
High Interest Coverage Ratio
π° Strong Revenue Growth
π’ Strategic Investments in Talent
π Diversified Service Offerings
π Robust M&A Pipeline
π Positive Market Outlook
π Investment-Grade Ratings
High Valuation Ratios
Moderate Operating Profit Margin
Low Liquidity Ratios
β οΈ Incremental Margin Pressures
π§ Safety Claims Impact
π¦οΈ Weather-Related Concerns
π Softening in Commercial Growth
Rollins demonstrates a solid business model with strong revenue growth, strategic investments in talent, and a diversified service portfolio. However, challenges such as margin pressures and safety claims need to be managed. The company has promising future prospects with a robust M&A pipeline and favorable market conditions but faces potential headwinds from weather and commercial growth dynamics.
Analysis Date: February 13, 2025 Last Updated: March 12, 2025
+402%
+17.5% per year
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.
CountryUS
ExchangeNYSE
IndustryPersonal Products & Services
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Market Cap$22.11B
CEOMr. Jerry E. Gahlhoff Jr.
Rollins, Inc. is a company that helps people and businesses get rid of pests like bugs and rodents. They provide services to homes and workplaces, making sure places are safe and clean from unwanted animals. They also offer special protection against termites, which can damage buildings. Founded in 1948 and based in Atlanta, Georgia, Rollins works directly with customers and through other businesses that use their services.
Franchise ModelThe company effectively utilizes a franchise model, allowing for rapid expansion and local market adaptation.
π
Brand RecognitionRollins, Inc. has a strong brand presence in the pest control industry, which helps attract and retain customers.
π§
Diverse Service OfferingRollins provides a comprehensive range of pest and wildlife control services, catering to various customer needs and enhancing customer loyalty.
π
Regulatory Compliance ExpertiseThe company's knowledge of regulatory requirements ensures compliance, particularly in sensitive industries, enhancing trust and reliability.
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Established Customer RelationshipsLong-term relationships with clients in sectors like healthcare and foodservice create a stable revenue stream and reduce customer churn.
Key Business Risks
π
Economic DownturnEconomic recessions may lead to decreased spending on pest control services by both residential and commercial clients.
π§
Operational RisksService disruptions due to workforce shortages, equipment failures, or supply chain issues could negatively impact service delivery.
π
Market CompetitionIntense competition from other pest control providers and new entrants could lead to price wars and reduced market share.
βοΈ
Regulatory ComplianceChanges in regulations related to pest control and environmental protection could increase operational costs and affect service offerings.
π€
Franchisee PerformanceReliance on franchisees for revenue generation poses risks related to their performance and adherence to company standards.
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Graham Value Metrics
Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.
Intrinsic Value
Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula
$37.08
Current Market Price: $52.29
IV/P Ratio: 0.71x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)
Margin of Safety
Gap between intrinsic value and market price
-41.0%
Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety
Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value
Graham Criteria Checklist
Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for ROL
Positive earnings (5+ years)
Dividend history (5+ years)
P/E ratio β€ 20 (54.22)
P/B ratio β€ 1.5 (19.00)
Current ratio β₯ 2.0 (0.69x)
Long-term debt < Net current assets (-3.41x)
Margin of safety (-41.0%)
ROL does not meet all Graham criteria
ROE: 36.428748630772226
ROA: None
Gross Profit Margin: 63.03145623641812
Net Profit Margin: 13.762737893025898
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Profitability & Past Results
Strengths
Strong Gross Profit Margin
63.03%
Gross Profit Margin
The gross profit margin is at 63.03%, indicating that the company retains a significant portion of revenue as profit after accounting for the cost of goods sold.
Positive Net Profit Margin
13.76%
Net Profit Margin
With a net profit margin of 13.76%, ROL demonstrates its ability to convert revenue into actual profit.
Weaknesses
Moderate Operating Profit Margin
19.45%
Operating Profit Margin
The operating profit margin of 19.45% is decent but may indicate some inefficiencies compared to peers.
About Profitability Metrics
Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.
Return on Equity (ROE)
Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits
36.43%
10%15%
Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders
TTM (as of 2025-04-25)
Gross Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold
63.03%
20%40%
Higher values indicate better efficiency in production
TTM (as of 2025-04-25)
Net Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses
Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good
Q4 2024
Historical Earnings Results
Meeting Expectations
3/10
Higher values indicate better execution and credibility
Recent Results
2025-02-12
0.0%
2024-10-23
-3.3%
2024-07-24
0.0%
2024-04-24
0.0%
2024-02-14
0.0%
2023-10-25
+12.0%
2023-07-26
0.0%
2023-04-26
+5.9%
2023-02-15
0.0%
2022-10-26
+4.8%
Earnings call from February 13, 2025
EPS
0.23
Estimated
0.23
Actual
0.00%
Difference
Strengths
π° Strong Revenue Growth
$3.4 billion
Total Revenue
7.9%
Organic Growth Rate
Rollins achieved a milestone of $3.4 billion in revenue, with a full-year increase of 10.3% versus last year. The organic growth rate for the year was 7.9%, indicating strong demand across all major service offerings.
π’ Strategic Investments in Talent
15%
Sales Force Growth
The company invested in hiring and developing talent, increasing their sales force by over 15% to meet demand. This focus on staffing and training is expected to yield long-term growth.
π Diversified Service Offerings
Rollins has a robust portfolio including pest control and termite services, with growth seen in all sectors. The company also emphasizes a multifaceted approach to customer acquisition, reducing reliance on any single channel.
Weaknesses
β οΈ Incremental Margin Pressures
Tempered by investments
Incremental Margin Impact
While Rollins has seen healthy growth, investments in staff and resources have tempered incremental margins in the second half of the year, indicating a potential challenge in balancing growth and profitability.
π§ Safety Claims Impact
40 basis points headwind
Claims Impact on EBITDA
The company is dealing with a long tail of safety claims that negatively impacted EBITDA margins. This situation suggests operational risks that could affect overall profitability if not managed effectively.
Opportunities
π Robust M&A Pipeline
44
Tuck-in Deals Closed
Rollins closed 44 tuck-in deals in 2024 and has a strong M&A pipeline, indicating the company's strategy to grow through acquisitions alongside organic growth.
π Positive Market Outlook
7% - 8%
Expected Organic Growth (2025)
The company expects organic growth in the range of 7% to 8% for 2025, supported by ongoing modernization efforts and a favorable pricing environment.
π Investment-Grade Ratings
BBB+
Fitch Rating
BBB
S&P Rating
Recent investment-grade ratings from Fitch and S&P will provide Rollins with better access to capital at lower costs, enhancing their ability to pursue growth initiatives.
Risks
π¦οΈ Weather-Related Concerns
There are concerns about a muted spring selling season due to severe cold weather affecting pest populations, which could impact organic growth in the near term.
π Softening in Commercial Growth
The commercial business showed some deceleration in growth despite easier comparisons, which raises questions about sustained momentum in that segment.
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