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TXN
Texas Instruments Incorporated
Summary
Earnings Call Analysis
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Positive High Return on Equity
Positive Strong Profit Margins
Positive Strong Liquidity Ratios
Positive Low Debt Levels
Positive 💼 Strong Competitive Position
Positive 🏗️ Robust Financial Management
Positive 🔮 Secular Growth Opportunities
Positive 🏗️ Strategic Capital Investments
Negative High Valuation Ratios
Negative High PFCF Ratio
Negative High Dividend Payout Ratio
Negative 📉 Margin Pressure in Embedded Business
Negative ⚠️ Short-Term Revenue Guidance

Overall, Texas Instruments demonstrates solid business quality through its competitive positioning, strong financial management, and strategic focus on growth markets. However, the company faces short-term challenges with margin pressures in its Embedded segment and cautious revenue guidance for the near term. Future prospects remain promising due to ongoing investments and growth opportunities in key sectors.

Analysis Date: January 23, 2025
Last Updated: March 12, 2025

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$65.78

Current Market Price: $151.04

IV/P Ratio: 0.44x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

-130.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for TXN

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
No P/E ratio ≤ 20 (28.77)
No P/B ratio ≤ 1.5 (8.17)
Yes Current ratio ≥ 2.0 (4.12x)
No Long-term debt < Net current assets (1.13x)
No Margin of safety (-130.0%)
No TXN does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 28.0774631406506

ROA: 3.3935058717508237

Gross Profit Margin: 58.14206252797136

Net Profit Margin: 30.682181446199092

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Strong Profit Margins

58.14%
Gross Profit Margin
34.15%
Operating Profit Margin
30.68%
Net Profit Margin

TXN demonstrates robust profit margins with a gross profit margin of 58.14%, an operating profit margin of 34.15%, and a net profit margin of 30.68%. These metrics indicate strong efficiency in converting revenue into profit.

High PFCF Ratio

118.12
Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio

The price to free cash flow (PFCF) ratio of 118.12 is extremely high, which may indicate that the stock is overvalued in terms of its cash generation capabilities.

About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

28.08%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Return on Assets (ROA)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate profits

3.39%

3% 7%

Higher values indicate better asset utilization

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

58.14%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

30.68%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-16)

Strong Liquidity Ratios

4.12
Current Ratio
2.88
Quick Ratio

TXN has a current ratio of 4.12 and a quick ratio of 2.88, indicating a strong ability to meet short-term liabilities and suggesting good liquidity.

Low Debt Levels

0.80
Debt to Equity Ratio
0.38
Debt to Assets Ratio

The debt to equity ratio of 0.80 and debt to assets ratio of approximately 0.38 suggest that the company maintains a prudent level of debt relative to its equity and assets.

High Dividend Payout Ratio

99.92%
Dividend Payout Ratio

The dividend payout ratio is at 99.92%, indicating that nearly all earnings are paid out as dividends, which may limit reinvestment for growth.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.80x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

4.12x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

💼 Strong Competitive Position

70%
Revenue from Industrial & Automotive
21 years
Consecutive Dividend Increases

Texas Instruments (TI) maintains a strong competitive position with a diverse product portfolio and a significant share in industrial and automotive markets, making up about 70% of revenue. The company's focus on analog and embedded technology supports a reliable and cost-effective supply for customers.

🏗️ Robust Financial Management

$2 billion
Cash Flow from Operations (Q4)
$5.7 billion
Total Returned to Owners (12 months)

TI's financial management is commendable, with a solid cash flow generation of $2 billion in Q4 and $6.3 billion for the year. The company has been disciplined in capital allocation, returning $5.7 billion to owners through dividends and stock repurchases.

📉 Margin Pressure in Embedded Business

18%
Embedded Margin Decline

The Embedded Processing segment has faced significant margin pressure, primarily due to underutilization of the Lehi factory. The company anticipates this will continue in the short term, affecting overall profitability.

🔮 Secular Growth Opportunities

Mid-single-digit growth
Growth in Automotive Market
34%
Industrial Market Share (2024)

There are positive long-term growth prospects in industrial and automotive markets, driven by increasing chip content per application. TI aims to leverage its competitive advantages to capture this secular growth.

🏗️ Strategic Capital Investments

$4.8 billion
CapEx (2024)
$5 billion
Projected CapEx (2025)

TI is in the midst of a six-year elevated CapEx cycle that will enhance its manufacturing capacity with 300-millimeter wafers, positioning the company to meet future demand effectively.

⚠️ Short-Term Revenue Guidance

2% to 3%
Expected Revenue Decline (Q1)
$0.94 to $1.16
EPS Guidance (Q1)

TI provided a cautious outlook for Q1 2025, expecting a sequential decline in revenue and EPS. This reflects seasonal weakness and ongoing challenges in the industrial sector.

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